Age-Period-Cohort Effects on the Long-term Residence Intention of Rural Migrant Workers
Migrant workers play a crucial role in driving urbanization in China,and their desire to settle in cities re-flects the quality of urbanization to some extent.Therefore,studying the level and changes in migrant workers'long-term residence intentions is highly significant.This paper utilizes CMDS data from 2012 to 2018 and employs Hierarchical APC-Cross-Classified Random Effects Models to analyze changing trends in the aspects of age,period and cohort.The results show that(1)There is an inverted U-shaped curve in migrant workers'intentions for long-term residence as their ages increase;(2)The overall willingness for long-term residence decreases in recent years;(3)The cohort effect curve demonstrates two high sides and two low sides;(4)Gender,education,and job identity are factors that exhibit different co-hort changing trends.To enhance migrant workers'long-term residence intentions,the government should acknowledge the differences among groups,promote the integration of migrant workers into urban society,and facilitate their citizenship status to achieve high-quality urbanization.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
