首页|贵州一次短历时极端暴雨的形成过程及机理分析

贵州一次短历时极端暴雨的形成过程及机理分析

Formation Process and Mechanism Analysis of a Short-duration Extreme Rainstorm in Guizhou Province

扫码查看
利用地面常规观测及加密自动站观测资料、FY-4A卫星云图、多普勒天气雷达和风廓线雷达产品、ERA5再分析资料,对2022年5月29日贵州中南部的一次打破历史记录的短历时极端暴雨过程,从其形成过程和形成机理等方面进行了分析.结果表明:(1)此次短历时极端暴雨是在典型的低槽冷锋形势下,由中-β尺度低涡和地形的共同作用造成;对流发生前,异常高的整层可降水量、低层强烈的水汽辐合、显著的水汽垂直递减率为短历时强降水提供了有利的水汽条件.(2)最强降水发生在MCC的形成和维持阶段,TBB的强度变化与降水强度变化一致,TBB最低值和 10 min最强降水在同一时段发生;暴雨中心区受"人"字形回波和多个低质心的强回波单体重复影响,形成短历时极端强降水.(3)对流单体沿锋面及锋生区生成发展,锋前静力不稳定层结、低层辐合、高层辐散的有利配置使得对流移经时得到维持和增强,中-β尺度低涡、冷池和地形的共同影响也提供了维持条件,而对低涡、冷池和地形作用的把握不足是造成预报偏差的主要原因.
Based on ground conventional observation data and intensive automatic station observation data,cloud image of FY-4A satellite,Doppler radar data,wind profile radar data and ERA5 reanalysis data,a short-duration extreme rainstorm which broke the histor-ical record in southern Guizhou on 29 May 2022 were analyzed from formation process and mechanism.Results are as follows:(1)The short-duration extreme rainstorm was caused by the combination of medium-β scale vortex and topography under a typical low-trough cold front type.Before the convection,the abnormally high precipitable water of the whole layer,the strong water vapor convergence in the lower layer and the significant vertical water vapor lapse rate provided favorable water vapor conditions for the short-duration heavy pre-cipitation.(2)The strongest precipitation occurred in the formation and maintenance stage of MCC,and the change of TBB intensity was consistent with the change of precipitation intensity,the lowest value of TBB and the strongest precipitation in 10 min occurred at the same time.The rainstorm center area was affected by the herringbone shape echo and several strong echo units with low quality cores re-peatedly,resulting in short-duration extreme heavy rainfall.(3)Convective cells developed along the front and frontogenetic regions,the prefrontal statically unstable stratification,convergence at low level and divergence at high level made the convection maintenance and en-hancement.The combined influence of medium-β scale low vortex,cold pool and topography also provided the maintenance conditions,the main reason for forecast bias was insufficient consideration of the effects of medium-β scale low vortex,cold pools and terrain.

Short-duration extreme rainstormMCCMedium-β scale low vortexCold poolTopographic effect

吴古会、彭芳、李彦霖、杨帆、陈杨

展开 >

贵州省气象台,贵阳 550002

贵州山地气候与资源重点实验室,贵阳 550002

贵州省山地气象科学研究所,贵阳 550002

贵州省黔南州气象局,都匀 558000

展开 >

短历时极端暴雨 MCC 中-β低涡 冷池 地形作用

2024

高原山地气象研究
中国气象局成都高原气象研究所 中国气象学会高原气象学委员会

高原山地气象研究

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.313
ISSN:1674-2184
年,卷(期):2024.44(3)