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世锦赛视角下链球竞争格局和成绩演进研究

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对近 10届田径世锦赛链球比赛获奖国家及比赛成绩进行整理分析,并运用灰色预测GM(1.1)模型对第 20 届田径世锦赛男子和女子链球单项的成绩进行预测.结果表明:波兰是世界链球强国,世界链球项目竞争愈来愈激烈,且男子链球单项的竞争程度与女子相比更为激烈;男子链球单项的成绩发展不稳定,且整体呈现缓慢下降趋势;女子链球成绩发展呈现出一种先上升后趋于稳定的态势;第 20 届田径世锦赛男子链球单项的成绩仍会继续下降,女子单项的成绩会有小幅度提高.
An Evolutionary Research on Hammer Competition Pattern and Achievement from the Perspective of World Championships
This paper analyzes the winning countries and the results of the hammer throw in the past 10 World Championships,and uses the GM(1.1)model to predict the results of the men's and women's hammer throw in the 20th World Championships.The results show that Poland is a powerful country in the world hammer throw.The competition of the world hammer throw is more and more intense,and the competition of men's hammer throw is more intense than that of women.The development of men's hammer throw is not stable,and the overall performance shows a slow decline trend;the development of women's hammer throw shows a trend of rising first and then stabilizing.The results of the men's hammer throw event in the 20th World Athletics Championships will continue to decline,and the results of the women's event will improve slightly.

World championshipHammerAchievement evolutionGrey predictionCompetition pattern

王经旗、张思国

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曲阜师范大学体育科学学院,山东 曲阜,273100

临淄中学,山东 临淄,255400

世锦赛 链球 成绩演进 灰色预测 竞争格局

2024

四川体育科学
四川省体育科学研究所

四川体育科学

影响因子:0.419
ISSN:1007-6891
年,卷(期):2024.43(2)
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