Intelligent Simulation of Social Complex Systems:Emergence Mechanisms and Methodological Paths
With the rapid development and widespread application of AI technology,the world is entering the era of intelligent society.The social organism can be regarded as a complex system.Therefore,social(system)simulation is becoming an increasingly important method for social governance,which can be reflected at three levels,such as micro(individual),medium(organizational)and macro(societal and global).For social simulation,the core objective is to model the social process and solve the underlying emergence mechanism.It can accurately model,represent and reproduce both the real-time process and the final results of social phenomena.Based on the emergence mechanism,we can better understand complex social systems.For social governance in the era of intelligent society,we have more diverse social actors,such as humans,machines,robots,and others.Social simulation can better reflect the whole society by connecting different systems and levels of society.Based on social simulation,especially agent-based modelling,constant interactions,complex relationships and social processes in multi-layered systems can be further revealed,which meets the governance needs of intelligent societies.In the context of an intelligent society,researchers can use social simulation to represent the behavior of social agents at the micro level,while monitoring and observing social outcomes at the macro level through emergence.Therefore,the social complex system can be better understood through social simulation.The emergence of intelligent society is changing the style of social governance for the whole country of China.Nowadays,China is carrying out the national-led nationwide experiments on intelligent social governance from 2021 to the present.Since 2012,a series of relevant experiments and practices have been carried out in China,such as smart cities(2012-),urban brains(2016-),digital governments,digital twin cities,etc.Therefore,this round of intelligent social governance experiments can be regarded as the latest stage of the Chinese path to modernization in terms of national social governance.For now,social simulation has become an important tool for exploring intelligent social governance in China.How to use social simulation methods in the process of social governance?This article proposes a relatively complete path with six stages or logical links.They are social mapping,social knowledge,simulation deduction,social prediction,social governance and social optimization.Social mapping provides important structural references for social action and social system simulation.Social knowledge can be modelled as a systematic understanding of the laws(rules)in society that guide the behavior of social actors.Based on social knowledge,the stage of social simulation runs continuously,exploring social possibilities,conditions and limits.By predicting social trends,abnormal states and structural information,social governance is applied to solve the optimal social public policies,which can also be considered as social governance plans.In the globe,social simulation is also crucial to improve international relations,which helps to build a community with a shared future for mankind.For the intelligent society,social simulation will become more and more important.
Complex social systemsSocial simulationEmergence of complex systemsSocial knowledgeIntelligent society
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维普
