摘要
人口与经济协调发展是中国式现代化的核心命题之一.大力发展银发经济已成为中国积极应对人口老龄化、培育经济发展新动能的重要举措.随着中国人口发展步入新阶段,人口高质量发展为银发经济繁荣提供了新思路、新方法和新途径.人口高质量发展与银发经济之间的关系,既源于马尔萨斯和马克思的人口理论,又是生产性老龄化和第二次人口红利等理论的具体实践.在内在逻辑上,老年人口的总量充裕可推动消费需求的规模化,素质优良可推动消费习惯的品质化,结构优化可促进消费产品的精细化,分布合理可诱发银发市场的层次化.实现人口高质量发展与银发经济齐头并进,可从践行积极老龄观、强化创新驱动、做好分层分类、提升人口素质、促进城乡融合发展等方面着手,落实积极应对人口老龄化战略.
Abstract
The coordinated development of population and economy is a fundamental proposition of Chinese modernization.Chinese society is currently experiencing two significant transformations.First,population development has entered a new normal,characterized by emerging trends including declining birth rates,population aging,and regional demographic divergence.Second,economic development is transitioning from an extensive growth model based primarily on labor consumption to a new quality of productivity.This new productivity paradigm emphasizes technological innovation,intelligent systems,sustainability,and optimal human resource allocation Such a shift aims to promote changes in production methods and organizational structures to enhance production efficiency and economic quality.The existing demographic challenges impose substantial pressures on economic and social development,necessitating innovative approaches and strategies in population development to effectively address these urgent issues.The vigorous development of the silver economy has become a crucial strategy for China to address population aging and cultivate new economic growth drivers.The relationship between high-quality population development and silver economy prosperity is rooted in both Malthusian and Marxist population theories while embodying practical applications of productive aging and second demographic dividend.High-quality population development,which aims to achieve a population characterized by excellent quality,appropriate scale,optimized structure,and rational distribution,represents a breakthrough strategy to enhance the synergy between the current new normal of China's population development and economic-social progress.This paper examines the interactive relationship between high-quality population development and the emerging silver economy paradigm through four dimensions:quantity,structure,quality,and distribution.Analysis reveals that the substantial elderly population drives consumption demand scale,structural optimization promotes consumer product refinement,quality improvement enhances consumption patterns,and rational distribution induces silver market stratification.In the context of Chinese modernization and deepening population aging,institutional reforms must adapt to new demographic realities by redefining the elderly's economic functions and social values.Guided by productive aging principles and activation of the second demographic dividend,these reforms must address rapid changes in labor supply,family patterns,and social structures.Achieving coupled development between high-quality population growth and the silver economy requires establishing an institutional framework encompassing population,economic,social,and cultural dimensions.Key implementation paths include promoting positive aging perspectives,strengthening innovation-driven development,implementing effective stratification strategies,enhancing population quality,and fostering urban-rural integration to advance silver economy
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