首页|港口船舶溢油事故应急联防建设区域划分及主体选择评价

港口船舶溢油事故应急联防建设区域划分及主体选择评价

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在一定的区域范围内建立港口船舶溢油事故区域应急联防体系,对于促进联防区域内应急资源共享、提高船舶污染事故应急能力具有重要意义.基于区域间各个码头的航路网络,利用ArcGIS软件的空间分析工具进行时间可达性分析,确定符合有效应急时效的联防建设区域.进而,从码头泊位情况、溢油事故参数、货物吞吐量、管理水平等方面分析了影响区域联防建设的因素,并基于主成分分析-BP神经网络方法建立了码头区域联防建设主体评价模型.研究表明,得到的应急联防建设区域划分及主体选择评价模型能够客观地反应评价对象的真实情况.在应急联防建设中,可以根据实际需求,参考评价结果选择建设方案.
Regional division and construction subjects selection evaluation of emergency joint prevention construction of ship oil spill accidents in port
It is of great significance to establish a regional emergency joint prevention system for port ship oil spill accidents within a certain regional scope for promoting the sharing of emergency resources in the joint prevention area and improving the emergency response capability of ship pollution accidents.Based on the route network among the terminals,the spatial analysis tool of ArcGIS software was used to analyze the time accessibility,and the area of joint defense construction meeting the effective emergency was determined.Furthermore,the factors affecting the construction of regional joint defense were analyzed from the aspects of berth conditions,oil spill accident parameters,cargo throughput,management level,etc.,and the evaluation model for construction subjects of regional joint defense was established based on the principal component-BP neural network method.The results show that the emergency joint defense construction area division method and construction subjects selection evaluation model can objectively reflect the true situation of the evaluation object.In the construction of emergency joint defense,the construction scheme can be selected according to the actual needs and the evaluation results.

regional joint defenseaccessibility analysisprincipal component analysisBP neural networkconstruction subject

胡超、刘桂云、白佳兴、胡俊林

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宁波大学 海运学院,宁波 315832

宁波大学 东海研究院经济研究中心,宁波 315211

区域联防 可达性分析 主成分分析 BP神经网络 建设主体

国家自然科学基金高等学校学科创新引智计划(111计划)

52272334D21013

2024

水道港口
交通部天津水运工程科学研究所

水道港口

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.348
ISSN:1005-8443
年,卷(期):2024.45(1)
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