Prediction of freight volume in the Shandong section of the north Yellow River channel of the Beijing-Hangzhou Canal
Based on the location characteristics of the Beishan East section of the Yellow River on the Beijing-Hangzhou Canal,it is proposed that the composition of waterway freight volume is divided into domestic freight volume and transit freight volume.Calculate the domestic freight volume through regression models,elasticity coefficients,and other mathematical models based on the development of the hinterland economy and the overall social freight volume.Based on the development of freight volume in comprehensive transportation channels,predict the transit freight volume,and quantitatively analyze the economic advantages of water transportation by setting various transportation scenarios between provinces and cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Canal.The results show that the predicted freight volume of the Beishan East section of the Beijing-Hangzhou Canal in 2035 is 29 million tons,and the predicted freight volume in 2050 is 54 million tons.Compared to comprehensive transportation methods such as railways and highways,the water transportation cost of the Beijing-Hangzhou Canal can be reduced by more than 10％,with significant economic advantages and broad development prospects.
万方数据
维普
