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气候变化和人类活动对太行山区植被NPP变化的影响

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为定量区分气候变化和人类活动对太行山区植被净初级生产力(Net primary productivity,NPP)变化的相对贡献率,基于CASA(Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach)模型估算得到太行山区2000~2020年植被NPP数据集,通过趋势分析法、偏相关分析法和残差分析法等研究方法,定量分析了气候变化和人类活动对植被NPP变化的影响.结果表明:(1)太行山区植被NPP呈增加趋势,增速为6.13 gC·m-2·a-1,在空间上呈现南部高北部低,中部高低交叉分布的空间分布格局且92.57%的区域植被NPP呈现增加趋势.(2)植被NPP与气温和降水的偏相关系数均值分别为0.21和0.42,降水对植被NPP的影响大于气温.(3)气候变化和人类活动的共同作用占主导因素,单一的气候变化和人类活动的占比较低.(4)气候变化和人类活动对改善区植被NPP的相对贡献率分别为42.35%和57.65%,对退化区植被NPP的相对贡献率分别为35.56%和64.44%,人类活动对太行山区植被NPP变化的影响大于气候变化的影响.
Impact of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation NPP Changes in Taihang Mountains
In order to quantitatively differentiate the respective contributions of climate change and human activities to variations in vegetation net primary productivity(NPP)in the Taihang Mountain area,we estimated the NPP dataset for this region from 2000 to 2020 using the CASA model.The impacts of climate change and human activities on NPP changes were rigorously examined through trend analysis,partial correlation analysis,and residual analysis methods.The findings are presented as follows:(1)The NPP of vegetation in the Taihang Mountain area exhibited a positive trend,with a growth rate of 6.13 gC·m-2·a-1.The spatial distribution pattern revealed higher NPP in the southern regions,lower NPP in the northern regions,and variations in the middle.Notably,approximately 92.57%of the regional vegetation displayed an increasing trend in NPP.(2)The average partial correlation coefficients between vegetation NPP and temperature and precipitation were determined to be 0.21 and 0.42,respectively.These findings indicate that precipitation had a more pronounced effect on vegetation NPP compared to temperature.(3)The combined impact of climate change and human activities emerged as the dominant factor influencing vegetation NPP,while the individual contributions of climate change and human activities were relatively minor in proportion.(4)In the improved areas,human activities accounted for 57.65%of the relative contribution to NPP,while climate change contributed 42.35%.Conversely,in the degraded areas,human activities had a higher relative contribution rate of 64.44%,compared to 35.56%attributed to climate change.These findings suggest that human activities exert a greater influence on NPP in the Taihang Mountains than climate change.

climate changehuman activitiesNPPresidual analysisTaihang mountains

孔俊杰、刘海新、王晓、张灿、刘韦志、孙振宇、马润泽

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河北工程大学矿业与测绘工程学院,河北邯郸 056038

气候变化 人类活动 NPP 残差分析 太行山区

国家自然科学基金项目河北省自然科学基金项目河北省自然科学基金项目邯郸市科学技术研究与发展计划项目

42071246E2020402006E202040208621422303243

2024

山东林业科技
山东省林科院 山东林学会

山东林业科技

影响因子:0.298
ISSN:1002-2724
年,卷(期):2024.54(3)
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