首页|基于CA-Markov和InVEST模型的莆田市生态系统服务功能研究

基于CA-Markov和InVEST模型的莆田市生态系统服务功能研究

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在城市化影响下,建设用地的扩张对未来生态系统服务水平产生负面影响.评估并预测未来土地利用变化以及生态系统服务,可为城市可持续发展的规划和决策提供有效支持.为研究莆田市绿色空间变化及生态系统服务价值的动态趋势,基于CA-Markov模型分析莆田市2030年土地利用空间分布情况,运用InVEST模型对未来生态系统服务功能进行评估,进而分析其绿色空间格局.结果表明:(1)2020-2030年,莆田市建设用地持续扩张,增长至732.10 km2,水体、林地、耕地、草地等绿色空间在未来10年整体面积将缩减97.92 km2;(2)经标准化后的莆田市总生态系统服务指数由2020年的0.5963缩减至2030年的0.5820,这主要由于绿色空间被建设用地侵占,导致总体生态系统服务水平发生下降;空间上,莆田市总生态系统服务评估指数呈现出"北部高,南部低"的分布特点;(3)将莆田市生态系统服务绿色空间分为高、中、低三级,其中高、中生态系统服务绿色空间面积将在2030年分别缩减至1556.60 km2、178.53 km2,低生态系统服务绿色空间面积在2030年增加至1382.80 km2.未来城市绿色空间规划中,应当限制建设用地的进一步扩张,加强对现有绿色空间的保护,通过增加植被,优化土地利用结构的方式,完善莆田市生态系统服务水平.
Research on the Green Space Pattern of Putian City Based on Ecosystem Services Assessment
Under the influence of urbanization,the expansion of construction land will have a negative impact on the future level of ecosystem services.Assessing and predicting future land use changes and ecosystem services can provide effective support for urban sustainable development planning and decision-making.To study the dynamic trends of green spatial changes and the value of ecosystem services in Putian,Based on the CA-Markov model,analyze the spatial distribution of land use in Putian City in 2030,evaluate the future ecosystem service functions using the InVEST model,and then analyze the green spatial pattern of Putian City.The results indicate that:(1)From 2020 to 2030,the construction land in Putian City will continue to expand,increasing to 732.10 km2.In the next 10 years,the area of green spaces such as water bodies,forests,arable land,and grasslands will decrease by 97.92 km2.(2)the total ecosystem service index of Putian City After standardization has decreased from 0.5963 in 2020 to 0.5820 in 2030,This is mainly due to the encroachment of green space by construction land,resulting in a decrease in the overall level of ecosystem services;;in space,the total ecosystem service assessment index of Putian City shows the distribution characteristics of"high in the north,low in the south".(3)The green space for ecosystem services in Putian City is divided into three levels:high,medium and low.The area of green space for low ecosystem services will be increased to 1382.20 km2,and 229.83 km2 by 2030,and the area of green space for medium and high ecosystem services will be further reduced to 178.53 km2 and 1504.86 km2 respectively by 2030.In future urban green space planning,further expansion of construction land should be restricted,protection of existing green spaces should be strengthened,and the level of ecosystem services in Putian city should be improved by increasing vegetation and optimizing land use structure.

ecosystem services assessmentgreen spaceCA-MarkovInVEST modelPutian

王午鑫、唐雅兰、朱格格、陆东芳

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福建农林大学风景园林与艺术学院,福建福州 350002

生态系统服务评估 绿色空间 CA-Markov InVEST模型 莆田市

福建省社科基金年度项目

FJ2022BF061

2024

山东林业科技
山东省林科院 山东林学会

山东林业科技

影响因子:0.298
ISSN:1002-2724
年,卷(期):2024.54(3)
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