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东北地区体育彩票产业与新型城镇化耦合协调发展研究

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通过构建新型城镇化与体育彩票产业发展水平指标体系,测度了我国东北地区新型城镇化系统与体育彩票产业系统发展指数,并采用耦合协调度模型及Tobit回归模型,分析了2014-2018 年我国东北地区3 个省份新型城镇化与体育彩票产业发展的耦合协调水平、时空分异格局、空间动态演进以及驱动机制.研究结果表明:(1)2014 年以来,东北地区新型城镇化发展水平集中于中等偏低水平,体育彩票产业发展水平集中于中等水平,空间上均呈现出由南向北发展水平逐渐降低的态势.(2)2014-2018 年,东北地区新型城镇化与体育彩票产业发展的耦合度主要处于磨合耦合阶段,且呈现逐年上涨的趋势,在2018 年增速明显,基本实现了勉强失调到初级协调的根本转变,区域(辽宁省)新型城镇化与体育彩票产业发展之间初步呈现出较为良好的协同耦合状态.(3)人口密度对东北地区新型城镇化与体育彩票产业耦合协调发展具有显著的正向影响关系,而教育发展水平对东北地区新型城镇化与体育彩票产业耦合协调发展具有显著的负向影响关系.本研究对耦合度与发展度高低聚类区的研究结论能够为东北地区及其他地区体育彩票产业及新型城镇化的发展提供一些建设性建议,以推进城镇化与体育彩票产业发展之间关系的协调与共进.
Coupling and Coordinated Development of Sports Lottery Industry and New Urbanization in Northeast China
By constructing the development index system of urbanization and sports lottery industry,this paper measures the development index of urbanization system and sports lottery industry system in northeast China.With coupled coordination degree model and Tobit regression model,this paper analyzes the coupling coordination level,spatial and temporal differentiation pattern,spatial dynamic evolution and driving mechanism of urbanization and sports lottery industry development in three provinces of northeast China from 2014 to 2018.The results show that:(1)Since 2014,the level of urbanization development in northeast China has concentrated on the medium to low level,and the development level of sports lottery industry has concentrated on the medium level;in terms of space,the development level decreased from south to north gradually.(2)From 2014 to 2018,the coupling degree between urbanization and the development of sports lottery industry in northeast China was mainly in the stage of running-in coupling,and showed an upward trend year by year.In 2018,the growth rate was obvious,and the fundamental transformation from barely balanced to primary coordinated was basically realized.The regional urbanization and the development of sports lottery industry in Liaoning Province present a relatively good state of coordination and coupling.(3)The population density has a significant positive influence on the coupling and harmonious development of urbanization and sports lottery industry in northeast China,while the development level of education has a significant negative influence on it.The conclusion of this paper can provide some constructive suggestions for the development of sports lottery industry and urbanization in northeast China and other areas,so as to promote the coordination and co-progress of urbanization and sports lottery industry.

sports lottery industrynew-type urbanizationcoupling coordination degreeinfluence factornortheast area

王旭、张建辉

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曲阜师范大学 统计与数据科学学院,山东 曲阜 273165

山西财经大学 体育学院,山西 太原 030006

体育彩票产业 新型城镇化 耦合协调度 影响因素 东北地区

山东省教学研究项目山东省学校后勤协会课题

2023JX126HQXH2023-061

2024

山东体育科技
山东体育科学学会,山东省体育科学研究中心

山东体育科技

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.561
ISSN:1009-9840
年,卷(期):2024.46(1)
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