Reflection and Improvement on the Prediction of Urban Planning Population Size:Based on the Comparison Between the Seventh National Census and the Planning Population in 38 Key Cities
As an important part of urban master planning,planning population size prediction affects the sustainability of urban resource capacity,land development,public service supply and infrastructure configuration.By comparing the planning population of the urban master planning of 38 cities with the actual population of the Seventh Census,this study finds that there is a differentiated and systematic deviation between the planning population and the actual population with different scales and levels in 2020,then the deep causes of systematic deviation are analyzed.Finally,the improvement suggestions are put forward for the preparation,implementation and management of territorial spatial master planning in the new era,including correctly positioning the role of planning population prediction,transforming from the logic of technical prediction to policy regulation,innovating the conceptual system of population type cognition,the method of multi-scenario deduction model and the dynamic and accurate response mechanism,as well as strengthening the flexible response to the whole life cycle of planning.
population sizepopulation predictionmaster planningcity
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据
