首页|江苏省城市韧性与土地利用效率耦合协调时空演化及影响因素研究

江苏省城市韧性与土地利用效率耦合协调时空演化及影响因素研究

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基于 2005-2020 年江苏省市级面板数据,运用熵值法和SFA模型分别测算出城市韧性与土地利用效率,并借助耦合协调模型和脱钩模型对二者关系进行量化,最后借助Tobit模型对二者协调发展的驱动因素进行挖掘.结果表明:城市韧性、土地利用效率以及二者间耦合协调水平呈增长式发展,但增速均在逐渐减缓,且在空间格局演变上整体表现为"南高北低"分布;城市韧性与土地利用效率耦合状况良好,属于高水平耦合,整体协调度均值为0.67,属于"基本协调—初级协调"状态,且逐渐以中级协调类型城市为主;城市韧性与土地利用效率的脱钩类型以扩张负脱钩为主,未实现协同增进,多以土地利用效率增速相对滞后型发展,存在退耦风险;从江苏省整体尺度看,政府干预、人口密度、产业结构和科技投入对协调发展具有明显促进作用,而财政压力具有抑制作用.从三大区域尺度看,人口密度、产业结构和科技投入能够显著促进协调发展,其余要素均表现出区域异质性特征.城市科学发展离不开"城市韧性与土地利用"双系统的良性协同联动增长,研究结果可为城市高质量建设与可持续发展提供一定的参考价值.
Research on the spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of coupled coordination of urban resilience and land use efficiency in Jiangsu province
Based on the 2005-2020 municipal panel data of Jiangsu Province,the entropy method and SFA model are applied to measure the urban resilience and land use efficiency respectively,and the relationship between the two is quantified with the help of the coupled coordination model and the decoupling model,and finally the driving factors of the coordinated development of the two are mined with the help of the Tobit model.The results show that:Urban toughness,land use efficiency and the level of coordination between the two coupled growth development,but the growth rate are gradually slowing down,and in the spatial pattern of evolution of the overall performance of the"south high north low"distribution;urban toughness and land use efficiency coupling is good,belong to the high level of coupling,the overall average value of the degree of coordination of 0.67,belonging to the state of"basic coordination-primary coordination",and gradually to the intermediate coordination type of cities.The average value of the overall coordination degree is 0.67,which belongs to the basic coordination-primary coordination state,and gradually dominated by cities of intermediate coordination type;the decoupling type of urban toughness and land use efficiency is dominated by the expansion of the negative decoupling,and the synergy enhancement has not been realized,and the growth rate of the land use efficiency is mostly developed with relative lag,and there is a risk of decoupling;From the overall scale of Jiangsu Province,government intervention,population density,industrial structure and scientific and technological inputs significantly promote coordinated development,while fiscal pressure has an inhibiting effect.From the three regional scales,population density,industrial structure and scientific and technological inputs can significantly promote coordinated development,while the rest of the factors are characterized by regional heterogeneity.The scientific development of cities cannot be separated from the healthy synergistic growth of the dual system of"urban resilience and land use",and the results of the study can provide a certain reference value for the high-quality construction and sustainable development of cities.

urban resilienceland use efficiencycoupling coordinationdecoupling analysishigh-quality construction

毛胜洪、李鑫、雍新琴

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江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏·徐州 221116

中国矿业大学公共管理学院,江苏·徐州 221116

城市韧性 土地利用效率 耦合协调 脱钩分析 高质量建设

国家自然科学基金江苏省高等学校优势学科建设工程项目

42371273

2024

上海国土资源
上海市地质调查研究院 上海市地质学会

上海国土资源

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.435
ISSN:2095-1329
年,卷(期):2024.45(1)
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