上海国土资源2024,Vol.45Issue(1) :102-107,157.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-1329.2024.01.017

江西省土地利用隐性转型对碳排放的影响效应研究

Study on the effect of land use recessive transformation on carbon emission in Jiangxi Province

赖奇 汤江龙
上海国土资源2024,Vol.45Issue(1) :102-107,157.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-1329.2024.01.017

江西省土地利用隐性转型对碳排放的影响效应研究

Study on the effect of land use recessive transformation on carbon emission in Jiangxi Province

赖奇 1汤江龙1
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作者信息

  • 1. 东华理工大学测绘与空间信息工程学院,江西·南昌 330013
  • 折叠

摘要

在实现经济快速增长的背景下,生态环境问题尤为突出,土地利用变化产生的碳排放是全球变暖的重要因素.本文基于江西省市域视角,构建综合评价模型和碳排放测算模型,分析其时空演变特征,在此基础上利用地理探测器探究土地利用隐性转型对碳排放强度的影响机理,并提出绿色低碳减排建议.结果显示:江西省各地市土地利用隐性形态水平持续上升并向更高阶形态转变,北部地区逐渐演变为双核聚集式空间格局;研究区净碳排放量逐年上升,在空间上差异显著,呈现南北高中低分异特征;建设用地扩张侵占大量农用地、生态用地,削弱土地固碳功能;影响碳排放强度的因子驱动力在不同时期差异性较大,但地均固定资产投资额和地均全社会用电量始终是关键驱动力,各阶段存在其余主导因子;优化土地利用形式,开荒造林加强生态建设对碳减排工作有重要意义;科学布局产业结构,推动产业升级转型,有助于推进江西省绿色低碳发展.

Abstract

Against the backdrop of rapid economic growth,ecological and environmental problems are particularly prominent,and carbon emissions from land use change are the main factor of global warming.This article is from a city perspective,this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation model and a carbon emission measurement model,analyzes its spatio-temporal evolution characteristics,and on this basis,uses geographic detectorsto explore the impact mechanism of land use recessive transformation on carbon emission intensity,and puts forward scientific suggestions on green,low-carbon emission reduction.The results show:In Jiangxi Province,the level of land use recessive pattern continued to rise and changed to a higher order pattern,and the northern region gradually evolved into a dual-core aggregation pattern.The net carbon emissions in the study area increased year by year,showing a significant difference in space,showing a north-south high,middle and low differentiation.Expansion of construction land encroaches on a large amount of agricultural and ecological land,which weakens the carbon sequestration function of land.The driving forces of factors affecting carbon emission intensity vary greatly in different periods,but the investment of fixed assets and the electricity consumption of the whole society are always the key driving forces,and there are other leading factors in each stage.Optimizing land use form,reforestation and strengthening ecological construction are of great significance to carbon emission reduction.Scientific layout of industrial structure,industrial green transformation as a top priority,accelerate the cultivation and expansion of green and low-carbon industries,and promote green and low-carbon development in Jiangxi Province.

关键词

土地利用/隐性转型/碳排放/时空变化/驱动因素/影响效应

Key words

land use/recessive transformation/carbon emissions/spatiotemporal variation/driving factors/influence effect

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(41961032)

出版年

2024
上海国土资源
上海市地质调查研究院 上海市地质学会

上海国土资源

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.435
ISSN:2095-1329
参考文献量14
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