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中国存款保险费率体系

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道德风险是中国存款保险制度设计过程面临的核心难题,定价体系是解决道德风险问题的重要途径,但国内现有定价文献对中国现实问题关注不足.设计存款保险费率定价体系要从中国国情出发,重视中国独特的储蓄结构和社会体制现实.本文基于彭博违约风险模型和彭博估值定价模型设计出一个最新的存款保险定价表,并制定了一个融合量化矩阵体系和综合评价体系的银行评分表.结合定价约束和评分约束,提出一种新的存款保险费率定价体系,综合考虑银行风险承担、政府注资承诺、银行类型差异、信用评级范围、差别费率体系和惩戒机制.为验证新费率体系的合理性,基于累积正确率曲线对生成的差别费率结果进行评估,进一步推算出基金目标规模并进行充裕性测度验证.研究结果显示:新费率体系下国有大型商业银行适用0.005%~0.095%的差别费率区间,全国性商业银行适用0.020%~0.100%的差别费率区间,地区性商业银行适用级距鲜明的0.025%~0.200%的差别费率区间,这种新费率体系能够通过累积正确率曲线评估和基金充裕性验证.本文将弥补中国存款保险差别费率设计的部分理论缺陷,并为存款保险基金管理公司的政策制定提供实证支持.
China's Deposit Insurance Premium System
Moral hazard represents a pivotal challenge in the design of China's deposit insurance system.An effectively designed pricing system is a crucial pathway to addressing moral hazard.However,current domestic literature on pricing inadequately addresses issues specific to China's reality.Creating a deposit insurance premium pricing system must be grounded in the unique context of China's savings structure and social system.This paper introduces a novel deposit insurance pricing table based on the Bloomberg Default Risk and Bloomberg Valuation Pricing models,integrating a quantitative matrix system and a comprehensive evaluation system into a bank scoring table.Combining pricing and scoring constraints,it proposes a new deposit insurance rate pricing system that holistically considers factors like banks'risk-taking,government capital injections,bank type differences,credit rating spectrums,differential rate systems,and punitive mechanisms.To validate the new rate system's rationality,the differential rate outcomes are assessed using the Cumulative Accuracy Profile curve,further estimating the target size of the fund,and validating its adequacy.The findings indicate that under this new rate system,state-owned large commercial banks are subject to a differential rate range of 0.005%to 0.095%,national commercial banks at 0.020%to 0.100%,and regional commercial banks at a distinctly tiered range of 0.025%to 0.200%.This new rate system demonstrates its effectiveness through cumulative accuracy profile curve assessment and fund adequacy validation.The article addresses theoretical gaps in the domestic design of differential deposit insurance rates and offers empirical support for policymaking by China's Deposit Insurance Corporation.

Deposit InsuranceMoral HazardRisk-adjusted PremiumPricing ModelChinese Characteristics

苏育洲、姚帥、吴思斌、周镕基

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澳门科技大学商学院 999078

美国得克萨斯大学大河谷分校商学院 78541

衡阳师范学院经济与管理学院 421002

存款保险 道德风险 风险浮动保费 定价模型 中国特色

国家社会科学基金湖南省教育厅科学研究重点项目湖南省创新平台开放基金澳门科技大学科研项目澳门基金会-澳门金融科技创新研究院项目

23FJLB02323A05232022HSKFJJ034FRG-21-027-MSB

2024

上海经济研究
上海社会科学院经济研究所

上海经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.035
ISSN:1005-1309
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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