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海洋新基建"三网四化"培育发展评价研究

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新型基础设施建设成为引领数字经济时代发展的先驱,在海洋领域需要大力培育发展适合海洋特点的海洋新基建.海洋新基建的内涵在于海洋能源网、信息网、物联网的创新培育,外延在于实现海洋农业现代化、海洋工业现代化、海洋服务业现代化和海洋治理现代化.为衡量海洋新基建"三网四化"发展水平,基于2006-2021年沿海11个省份数据,采用主客观组合赋权、综合得分评价、核密度估计等方法,从"三网"创新产出、"三网"经济产出、"四化"经济产出、"四化"经济效率、"四化"行业效率五个维度综合得分来评价全国总体情况和区域异质性.结果表明:从全国总体看,海洋新基建总体水平处于较快上升态势,特别是2008年后随积极的财政政策实施后加速上升,但总体水平提升更多是通过部分高分区域来拉动;从单项维度看,五个维度均呈向好发展趋势,不同维度的得分和贡献率差异显著;从省份异质性看,各省份综合得分均保持增长,但发展差异持续拉大,高分分布呈"一体两翼"态势;从海洋圈异质性看,三大海洋圈发展水平接近,但北部和南部海洋经济圈内部结构差异大,东部海洋经济圈最为发达.
Evaluation of the Cultivation and Development of"Three Networks and Four Modernizations"in New Marine Infrastructure
The construction of new infrastructure has become a pioneer in leading the development of the digital economy era.In the marine field,it is necessary to vigorously cultivate and develop new marine infrastructure that is suitable for the characteristics of the ocean.The connotation of new marine infrastructure lies in the cultivation of marine energy networks,marine information networks,and marine internet of things,while the extension lies in achieving modernization of marine agriculture,marine industry,marine service industry,and marine governance.To measure the development level of"three networks and four modernizations"in new marine infrastructure,based on data from 11 coastal provinces from 2006 to 2021,this article adopts methods such as subjective and objective combination weighting,comprehensive score evaluation,and kernel density estimation to evaluate the overall situation and regional heterogeneity from five dimensions:innovation output of the"three networks",.economic output of the"three networks",economic output of the"four modernizations",economic efficiency of the"four modernizations",and industry efficiency of the"four modernizations".The results show that,from a national perspective,the overall level of new marine infrastructure is in a rapid upward trend,especially after the implementation of active fiscal policies in 2008.However,the overall level improvement is mainly driven by some high scoring regions.From a single dimension perspective,all five dimensions show a positive development trend,with significant differences in scores and contributions across different dimensions.From the perspective of provincial heterogeneity,the comprehensive scores of each province have maintained growth,but the development gap continues to widen,and the distribution of high scores shows a"one body,two wings"trend.From the perspective of heterogeneity in the marine economic circle,the development level of the three major circles is similar,but there are significant differences in the internal structure of the northern and southern circles,with the eastern marine circle being the most developed.

New Marine InfrastructureNew InfrastructureMarine EconomyInnovation CultivationIndustry Cultivation

许正中、马德隆

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中共中央党校(国家行政学院)经济学教研部 100091

中国宏观经济研究院综合运输研究所 100038

海洋新基建 新型基础设施 海洋经济 创新培育 产业培育

2024

上海经济研究
上海社会科学院经济研究所

上海经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.035
ISSN:1005-1309
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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