The Impact of Meteorological Conditions Change on Agricultural Economic Growth in China
As is well known,meteorological conditions are crucial to agricultural production,but the academic community lacks a specific focus on the extent of their impact on agricultural economic economic growth.In order to examine the correlation between meteorological changes and agricultural growth,this study utilizes panel data from Chinese provinces covering the years 1997 to 2022 to empirically analyze the effects of temperature and precipitation on agricultural economic growth in China.The empirical research finds that temperature and precipitation not only have output effects on agricultural economic growth but also exhibit price effects.The effects of temperature and precipitation show a pattern of initial increase,then decrease,and increase again.The initial change in direction is attributed to a shift from positive to negative productivity effects,while the subsequent change is determined by adjustments in crop structure and price increases.Furthermore,the impact of temperature and precipitation on agricultural economic growth shows significant temporal periodicity and regional differences.The temperature contributes to agricultural economic growth within the range of[-1.71％,1.37％],while precipitation contributes within the range of[-0.98％,1.15％].Changes in temperature and precipitation benefit agricultural economic growth in southern regions like Guangdong but have negative impacts on agriculture in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.Additionally,temperature and precipitation have respectively negative and positive effects on agriculture in Northeast China,North China,and other regions.This discovery proves that meteorology is highly correlated with agricultural economic activities.Adhering to this objective principle,the policy framework for advancing agricultural economic growth should involve closely monitoring the short-term,medium-term,and long-term effects of meteorological changes for the development of corresponding short-term,medium-term,and long-term agricultural policies,as well as relevant fiscal,financial,and other supportive policies.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
