首页|进入还是退出:长期护理保险的劳动供给效应研究

进入还是退出:长期护理保险的劳动供给效应研究

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如何认识老龄化制度体系建设对劳动力市场的影响是我国实施"积极应对人口老龄化"战略的重要前提.本文利用中国健康与养老追踪调查数据,运用双重差分法对长期护理保险第一批试点城市的劳动供给效应进行评估.研究发现,政策实施能够显著降低参保者的非农劳动参与率约6.3个百分点,降低每周农业劳动时长约5.4个小时.进一步分析显示,长护险主要降低了城镇、女性、不健康群体的劳动参与率,减少了农村、男性、不健康群体的劳动时长,劳动方式的差异能够解释上述发现.此外,政策具有一定的外溢效应,能够提高子女约3.1%的劳动参与率.本文研究有助于全面认识长护险政策对不同劳动类型及群体的劳动供给效应,为进一步完善老龄化制度体系提供参考.
Enter or Exit?:Labor Supply Effect of Long-term Care Insurance
How to understand the impact of the construction of aging system on the labor market is an important premise for China to implement the strategy of"actively coping with population aging".This paper uses panel data from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study to evaluate the effectiveness of long-term care insurance(LTCI)in the first batch of pilot cities under the difference-in-differences framework.The study found that the implementation of the policy can significantly reduce the non-agricultural labor participation rate of the insured by 6.3 percent and the time of agricultural labor per week by about 5.4 hours.Further analysis shows that LTCI mainly reduces the labor participation rate of urban,female and poor health groups,and reduces the labor hours of rural,male and poor health groups.The differences in labor methods can explain the above findings.In addition,the policy has a certain spillover effect,which can improve the labor participation rate of children by 3.1 percent.This study is helpful to comprehensively and accurately understand the labor supply effect of LTCI on different labor types and groups,and provide reference for further improving the aging system.

Long-term Care InsuranceLabor SupplyPolicy Evaluate

吕函枰、李婷、孙睿逸

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深圳大学中国经济特区研究中心,广东深圳 518061

山东省财政研究和教育中心,山东济南 250002

中国人民大学经济学院,北京 100044

长期护理保险 劳动供给 政策评估

2024

上海金融
上海市金融学会

上海金融

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.912
ISSN:1006-1428
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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