首页|长三角扩容是否改善了资本错配?——基于合成控制法的经验分析

长三角扩容是否改善了资本错配?——基于合成控制法的经验分析

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长三角扩容能否改善资本错配是长三角区域经济高质量发展的前提条件和重要保障.本文选取2003-2019年中国285个地级以上城市数据作为研究样本,使用合成控制法分析2010年长三角扩容对整体城市、原位城市和新进城市资本错配的影响,并进一步采用中介效应模型实证检验长三角扩容对资本错配的影响机制.结果显示:2010年长三角扩容显著改善资本错配,对新进城市的改善作用最大,整体城市次之,原位城市最小;各种检验均证实了结果的有效性和稳健性;进一步的影响机制分析表明,长三角扩容除了可以直接改善资本错配外,还能通过交通基础设施和资本流动的中介效应间接改善资本错配.本研究对加速推进城市群区域一体化进程、改善资源错配、推动区域经济高质量发展具有参考作用.
Could the Enlargement of Yangtze River Delta Improve Capital Misallocation?—An Empirical Analysis Based on Synthetic Control Methods
Whether the enlargement of the Yangtze River Delta can improve capital misallocation is the prerequisite and important guarantee for high-quality development of regional economy in the Yangtze River Delta.This paper selected the data of 285 cities above prefecture level in China from 2003 to 2019 as samples,used the synthetic control methods to analyze the impact of the enlargement of the Yangtze River Delta on capital misallocation of the whole cities,incumbent cities and new cities in 2010.This paper further used the mediation effect model to empirically verify the influence mechanism of the enlargement of Yangtze River Delta on capital misallocation.The results showed that the enlargement of Yangtze River Delta in 2010 can significantly improve capital misallocation,the improvement effect of the new cities are the largest,followed by the overall cities,and the incumbent cities are the smallest,and various tests had confirmed the validity and robustness of the results.Further analysis of the influence mechanism showed that the enlargement of the Yangtze River Delta can not only directly improve capital misallocation,but also indirectly improve capital misallocation through the mediation effect of transport infrastructure and capital flow.The research conclusions of this paper have enlightenment on promoting the process of regional integration of city clusters,improving resource misallocation,and promoting high-quality development of regional economy.

Enlargement of Yangtze River DeltaCapital MisallocationInfluence MechanismSynthetic Control Methods

洪勇

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九江学院江西开放型经济研究中心,江西九江 332005

长三角扩容 资本错配 影响机制 合成控制法

国家自然科学基金项目教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目国家社科基金项目江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目

7226302122YJA79002123BGJ010JJ22112

2024

上海金融
上海市金融学会

上海金融

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.912
ISSN:1006-1428
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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