基于三期中国家庭追踪调查微观数据库(China Family Panel Studies,CFPS),在构建收入转化矩阵的基础上,采用Ordered Probit模型实证检验了社会资本对农户收入流动性的影响.结果表明,社会资本可以显著提高农村居民的收入流动性,在考虑内生性问题以及稳健性检验后,该结论依旧显著成立.中介效应表明,社会资本主要是通过促进农户的非农就业从而提高收入流动性,并没有发现社会资本可以通过促进农户土地流转提高收入流动性.在异质性分析中,社会资本对低收入阶层农户收入流动性的提升作用大于高收入阶层农户.
Does Social Capital Improve Farmers'Income Mobility:Empirical Evidence from the Three-phase China Household Panel Survey
Based on the microdata from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)in three waves,this study empirically examines the impact of social capital on income mobility among rural households,using an Ordered Probit model after constructing an income transition matrix.The results indicate that social capital significantly enhances income mobility among rural residents.Even after considering endogeneity issues and conducting robustness checks,this conclusion remains significant.The mediating effect suggests that social capital primarily improves income mobility by promoting non-agricultural employment among households.Moreover,no evidence is found to support the notion that social capital enhances income mobility through promoting land transfer among households.In heterogeneous analysis,social capital has a greater impact on enhancing income mobility for low-income rural households than for high-income rural households.
Social CapitalIncome MobilityNon-agricultural Employment
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