首页|能源市场、金融市场绿色关注度与商业银行气候风险——基于分位数向量自回归模型的频域分析

能源市场、金融市场绿色关注度与商业银行气候风险——基于分位数向量自回归模型的频域分析

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银行业的气候风险具有搁浅资产风险敞口特征,且会受到能源市场和金融市场的冲击.本文使用分位数向量自回归模型的频域分析方法,研究了上述三个变量之间的动态溢出关系.总体而言,当商业银行气候风险处于低分位点时,会对能源市场产生溢出效应,并增加金融市场绿色关注度;当商业银行气候风险敞口处于高位点时,风险会溢出至能源市场和金融市场,溢出效应的短期性表现明显,此结论对各类型商业银行均成立.从商业银行类型来看,国有大型商业银行气候风险会影响金融市场绿色关注度,但对能源市场溢出效应不显著;股份制银行会影响金融市场绿色关注度,但会受到能源市场的溢出影响;城市商业银行会同时受到能源市场和金融市场绿色关注度的影响.本文实证分析证明了商业银行气候风险会向能源市场和金融市场溢出,商业银行管理气候风险非常重要.
Energy Prices,Green Concern Index in Financial Markets and Climate Risks in Commercial Banks
The climate risk of the banking industry has the characteristic of exposure to stranded assets and is subject to shocks from energy and financial markets.This article uses the frequency domain analysis method of quantile vector autoregressive model to study the dynamic spillover relationship among three variables.The conclusion shows that:firstly,overall,when the climate risk of commercial banks is at the low quantile,it will have spillover effects on the energy market and increase the green attention of the financial market.Secondly,when the climate risk exposure of commercial banks is high,the risk will spill over to the energy and financial markets,and the short-term spillover effect is obvious.This conclusion is valid for all types of commercial banks.Thirdly,when climate risk is at a low percentile,there are differences in the empirical results of various banks:climate risk of large state-owned commercial banks will affect the green attention of the financial market,but the spillover effect on the energy market is not significant;large joint-stock banks will affect the green attention of the financial market,but they will be affected by spillover effects from the energy market;urban commercial banks will be influenced by both the green attention of the energy market and the financial market.This article empirically demonstrates that climate risk in commercial banks can spill over to the energy and financial markets,and managing climate risk is crucial for commercial banks.

Energy MarketFinancial Market Green AttentionClimate Risk ManagementChinese Banking Industry

刘志洋、解瑶姝、牛亚楠

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东北师范大学经济与管理学院,吉林长春 130117

能源市场 金融市场绿色关注度 气候风险管理 中国银行业

国家社科基金一般项目

21BJY172

2024

上海金融
上海市金融学会

上海金融

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.912
ISSN:1006-1428
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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