首页|长三角城市群商品流通发展的时空演变特征、区域差异及分布动态演进

长三角城市群商品流通发展的时空演变特征、区域差异及分布动态演进

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本文在运用熵权TOPSIS法对2011-2021年长三角城市群27个城市的商品流通发展水平指数进行测算的基础上,利用Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计及莫兰指数等方法对其区域差异、分布动态等进行探索.研究发现:(1)在时间演变方面,2011-2021年长三角城市群商品流通发展水平总体上呈增长态势,并呈"上海>浙江9城市>江苏9城市>安徽8城市"特征;四大子系统中商品流通发展水平指数最大,接下来依次是物流、信息流和人力资源流动水平指数.(2)在空间分布方面,在考察期内长三角城市群商品流通发展水平总体分布格局仍未发生明显变化,空间格局有向东南转移的趋势,大部分城市出现"高—高"集聚效应和"低—低"集聚效应,且呈集聚现象.(3)在区域差异方面,在考察期内长三角城市群商品流通发展水平区域总体差异呈扩大化趋势,其中区域间差异是主要来源.(4)在分布动态演进方面,长三角城市群整体商品流通发展水平不断提高,绝对差异呈扩大趋势;长三角城市群四大区域商品流通发展水平不断提高,绝对差异从整体上看呈扩大态势,而上海有缩小趋势,且均存在两级或多极化趋势.
Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics,Regional Differences and Distribution Dynamic Evolution of Commodity Circulation Development in Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration
Based on the TOPSIS method of entropy weight,this paper calculates the commodity circulation development level index of 27 cities in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2011 to 2021,and explores its regional differences and distribution dynamics by using Dagum Gini coefficient,kernel density estimation,and Moran's Ⅰ.It is found that in terms of time evolution,the development level of commodity circulation in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration shows an overall growth trend from 2011 to 2021,with the characteristics of"Shanghai>9 cities in Zhejiang>9 cities in Jiangsu>8 cities in Anhui".Among the four subsystems,the development level index of business flow is the largest,followed by logistics,information flow,and human resources flow.In terms of spatial distribution,the overall distribution pattern of the development level of commodity circulation in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration has not changed significantly during the inspection period,and the spatial pattern has a trend of shifting to the southeast.Most cities have a"high-high"agglomeration effect and a"low-low"agglomeration effect,and an agglomeration phenomenon.In terms of regional differences,during the inspection period,the overall regional differences in the development level of commodity circulation in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration show an expanding trend,among which interval differences were the main source.In terms of dynamic evolution of distribution,the development level of commodity circulation in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration as a whole has been continuously improved,and the absolute difference has shown an expanding trend.The development level of commodity circulation in the four major regions of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration has been continuously improved,and the absolute difference has shown an expanding trend as a whole,while Shanghai has a shrinking trend,and all have a two-level or multi-polarization trend.

Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerationcommodity circulationMoran's ⅠDagum Gini coefficientkernel density estimation

周正柱、冯博文

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上海应用技术大学经济与管理学院(上海200233)

长三角城市群 商品流通 莫兰指数 Dagum基尼系数 核密度估计

国家社会科学基金一般项目(2020)

20BJY059

2024

上海交通大学学报(哲学社会科学版)
上海交通大学

上海交通大学学报(哲学社会科学版)

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.94
ISSN:1008-7095
年,卷(期):2024.32(2)
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