首页|我国地方债危机处置的理论与借鉴——基于债务货币化的考察

我国地方债危机处置的理论与借鉴——基于债务货币化的考察

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当前,我国地方债规模过大,经济增速趋缓,多地债务相继逾期,一旦爆发债务危机,或危及国家金融安全.学界对当今中国语境下地方债货币化与恶性通胀关系的研究仍有不足,尚不足以指导解决现实问题.基于此,在经济思想史和经济史视角下,探讨部分经典货币理论和典型事件适用前提和产生背景,探寻我国债务货币化的科学理论支撑,借鉴巴西地方债危机成功处置的经验.研究发现,债务货币化并不必然引发恶性通胀,而正是我国妥善化解地方债务风险的可行选择;"国家资本结构"理论为其提供了中国特色的理论支撑.
Theory and Reference of China's Local Government Debt Crisis Governance:Based on Debt Monetization Examination
At present,the local government debt is huge,coupled with slowing down growth and having been defaulted many debts.Once debt crisis breaks out,the overall national financial security situation may be concerned.However,the research on the relationship between local debt monetization and hyperinflation in the current context of China is still insufficient,which is not enough to gudie the solution of practical issues.Based on this,from the perspective of economic thought history and economic history,this paper explores the limita-tions of research on the hyperinflation of China's economy caused by the monetization of local debt,which probably ignores the applicable premise and background of classical monetary theory and typical events,and explores the scientific theoretical support of Chinese debt monetization.Further,it draws on the experience of successful solving local debt crisis in Brazil.It concludes that debt monetization does not necessarily lead to hyperinflation and it is a feasible choice for our country to properly dissolve the local debt crisis;the theory of"national capital structure"provides theoretical support for it with Chinese characteristics.

National Economic SecurityLocal Government Debt GovernanceDebt-monetizationNa-tional Capital Structure

刘锡良、张圣明

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西南财经大学中国金融研究中心,四川 成都 610074

国家经济安全 地方政府债务治理 债务货币化 国家资本结构

国家社会科学基金重大项目

20&ZD081

2024

社会科学研究
四川省社会科学院

社会科学研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.064
ISSN:1000-4769
年,卷(期):2024.(6)