美国"印太"小多边主义的生成机制探析
The Analysis of the Generation Mechanism of the US'Minilateralism in the"Indo-Pacific"Region
叶晓迪1
作者信息
- 1. 广东外语外贸大学区域国别研究院;广东外语外贸大学国际关系学院 广州 510006
- 折叠
摘要
在"印太"地区通过小多边主义实施对华遏制战略已成为美国外交战略的主轴.根据美国与盟伴在秩序愿景和威胁认知感的匹配组合,可以将小多边主义划分为全域型、制度型、安全型和现状型四种类型.当美国与盟伴的秩序愿景一致时,如果美国对华产生的"威胁认知"较强,这种情景会导致生成全域型小多边主义,其对华"脱钩"强度也最高.当美国与盟伴的秩序愿景一致性时,如果美国对华产生的"威胁认知"较弱,这种情景会导致生成制度型小多边主义,其对华"脱钩"强度较高.当美国与盟伴的秩序愿景存在差异时,如果美国对华产生的"威胁认知"较强,这种情景会导致生成安全型小多边主义,其对华"脱钩"强度属于中等水平.当美国与盟伴的秩序愿景存在差异时,如果美国对华产生的"威胁认知"较弱,这种情景会导致生成现状型小多边主义,其对华"脱钩"强度最低.奥巴马政府、特朗普政府以及拜登政府采取的对华战略和相关案例可以检验美国"印太"小多边主义生成的因果机制.
Abstract
The United States'strategic containment of China through minilateralism in the"Indo-Pacific"region has become the main axis of its diplomatic strategy.By combining the vision of order and perception of threat between the United States and its allies and part-ners,minilateralism can be divided into four ideal types:the hybrid model,the security model,the institutional model,and the status quo model.When the United States and its allies have the same vision of order,if the United States has a strong"perception of threat"toward China,this scenario will lead to the formation of a hybrid model,and its"decou-pling"intensity from China is also the highest.When the United States and its allies have the same vision of order,if the United States has a weak"perception of threat"toward China,this scenario will lead to the emergence of an institutional model,which has a high-er degree of"decoupling"from China.When the United States and its allies have different visions of order,if the United States has a strong"perception of threat"toward China,this scenario will lead to the formation of a security model,and its"decoupling"intensity from China is at a medium level.When the United States and its allies have different visions of order,if the"perception of threat"is weak,this scenario will lead to the emergence of a status quo model,which has the lowest level of"decoupling"from China.The strategies to-ward China adopted by the Obama,Trump,and Biden administrations and their related cases can verify the causal mechanism generated by the US"Indo-Pacific"minilateralism.
关键词
小多边主义/秩序愿景/威胁认知/"印太战略"/制度形态Key words
minilateralism/vision of order/perception of threat/"the Indo-Pacific Strategy"/institutional formation引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目(22CGJ009)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据