State Capacity,Legitimacy,Ruling Elites,and Addressing Social Crises:Taking So-cial Crises in Eurasian Countries as Examples
Eurasian countries frequently encounter violence and social crises triggered by domestic dissatisfaction,which threaten their national security and stability.T he authors an-alyze the reasons why Eurasian countries have different outcomes in addressing social crises and propose an analytical framework composed of three variables:state capacity,legitima-cy,and ruling elites.After outlining eight scenarios that arise from crises,the authors con-duct a theoretical discussion and use process tracing for each scenario.The study examines six social crises that occurred in four countries—Belarus,Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan,and Russia—as case studies to test the influencing factors and response patterns.The research finds that if a country has strong state capacity,high legitimacy,and cooperative ruling elites,it is likely to successfully resolve a crisis.Conversely,when a country lacks all three elements—strong state capacity,high legitimacy,and cooperative ruling elites—the social crisis is likely to spiral out of control.If one of these three elements is missing,the country must act swiftly and alter the existing scenario to potentially resolve the crisis.When two of the three elements are missing,the country must rely on both its efforts and external assis-tance to turn the crisis around.
social crisisstate securitystate capacitylegitimacyruling elites
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