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再生水投入与长江和黄河流域经济发展的互馈效应研究

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基于面板向量自回归模型,收集了2011-2020年长江和黄河流域18个省(自治区、直辖市)的面板数据,在验证了面板数据的有效性基础上,分析了模型的结果、脉冲响应函数及方差分解结果,考察了再生水投入与长江和黄河流域经济发展之间的相互作用及动态双向影响.结果表明:再生水投入与长江和黄河流域经济发展之间具有相互促进、共同发展的关系,并具有区域差异性特征;在流域经济发展对再生水投入的影响上,黄河流域的依赖性明显大于长江流域;在再生水投入对流域经济发展的影响上,黄河流域和长江流域整体上均呈现正向影响,但长江流域正向影响滞后性更强.
Study on mutual feedback effect between reclaimed water input and economic development in the Yangtze and Yellow River basins
Based on the panel vector autoregression(PVAR)model,the panel data of 18 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)in the Yangtze River and Yellow River basins from 2011 to 2020 were collected in this paper.On the basis of verifying the validity of the panel data,the results of the model were analyzed,the impulse response plot function and the variance decomposition results were analyzed,and the interaction and dynamic two-way impact between reclaimed water input and the economic development of the Yangtze River and Yellow River basins were investigated.The findings reveal that there is a mutually reinforcing and co-developing relationship between the reclaimed water input and the economic development of the basins,which exhibits regional disparities.In terms of the impact of the river basins'economic development on the reclaimed water input,the Yellow River Basin demonstrates significantly greater dependence than the Yangtze River Basin.Concerning the economic development of the basins,the introduction of reclaimed water input exhibits positive effects in both the Yellow River Basin and the Yangtze River Basin.However,the lag of the positive impact in the Yangtze River Basin is more significant.

PVAR modelreclaimed water inputmutual feedback effectYangtze River BasinYellow River Basin

吴凤平、黄蕊

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河海大学商学院,江苏 南京 211100

河海大学规划与决策研究所,江苏 南京 211100

面板向量自回归模型 再生水投入 互馈效应 长江流域 黄河流域

国家自然科学基金面上项目

42271303

2024

水利经济
河海大学 中国水利经济研究会

水利经济

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.699
ISSN:1003-9511
年,卷(期):2024.42(5)