首页|不确定性冲击、政府采购与企业发展韧性

不确定性冲击、政府采购与企业发展韧性

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面对百年未有之大变局,如何在各种不确定冲击中提高中国企业的发展韧性是党中央尤为关注的重要议题.本文以企业参与政府采购为研究视角,基于2020~2021年A股上市企业的季度数据开展实证研究,探讨政府采购能否以及如何帮助企业应对外部的不确定性冲击.结果显示,在面对全球性公共卫生事件的不确定性冲击时,政府采购有助于提高企业(尤其是民营企业)的发展韧性,而增强企业融资能力和稳定企业发展预期是两条潜在的影响机制.进一步地,对于盈利能力较差、劳动密集型的企业,以及经济欠发达地区的企业而言,政府采购在其面临不确定性冲击时的积极影响更为明显;此外,相比于异地采购,本地政府采购对于韧性的提升作用更为显著.本文最后还发现,政府采购不仅能帮助企业缓解不确定性冲击的负面影响,在冲击结束后也可助其更快地实现价值恢复.本文首次从政府采购视角扩展了企业发展韧性相关的学术认知,对于中国政府部门在历史新征程中制定有为政府和有效市场相结合的经济发展政策具有良好的参考价值.
Uncertainty Shock,Government Procurement and the Resilience of Enterprise Development
Amid unprecedented global transformations,including geopolitical conflicts and public health crises,uncertainties abound,posing significant challenges to global economic development.In such highly complex and uncertain market environments,the operational governance of micro-enterprises is susceptible to internal and external uncertainties,leading to increased survival pressures.In the face of various sudden shocks,resilience embodies a company's ability to self-react and adapt to risks and shocks,thereby reducing vulnerability and risk under uncertainty.Resilience is crucial for sustaining high-value growth amidst market uncertainties.Moreover,as the macroeconomy comprises economic activities of various micro units,the resilience of enterprises,as the backbone of China's economic development,directly influences the development trends and resilience of the macroeconomic system,thus impacting the realization of China's modernization process.Therefore,in this new era and journey,delving into enhancing enterprises'resilience to various uncertainty challenges is paramount.Procurement is a crucial mechanism for governments to establish economic ties with enterprises,facilitating effective collaboration between capable governments and efficient markets.Besides providing direct economic support to enterprises,can government procurement generate positive economic impacts in situations where enterprises face external uncertainty shocks?This is the main issue this study seeks to address.Based on data crawled from the China Government Procurement Contracts website,this study adopts the participation of enterprises in government procurement as the research perspective.Through empirical research based on quarterly data of A-share listed firms from 2020 to 2021 and data from China Government Procurement Contract announcements,it explores whether and how government procurement can assist firms in coping with external uncertainty shocks.The empirical results indicate that during uncertainty shocks caused by global public health events,government procurement contributes to enhancing the resilience of firms,especially private firms.The mechanism tests reveal that,first,the government can endorse enterprises through procurement orders,helping alleviate information asymmetry issues and low trust from funding providers,thereby enhancing enterprise resilience during the financing process.Second,government procurement can stabilize market expectations for enterprise development and prospects,further boosting enterprise resilience.Cross-sectional tests reveal that for firms with poor profitability and labor-intensive operations as well as those located in economically underdeveloped regions,the positive impact of government procurement during uncertainty shocks is more pronounced.Additionally,compared with non-local procurement,local government procurement has a more significant effect on resilience enhancement.Lastly,this study finds that firms with government procurement orders can achieve value recovery more rapidly after uncertainty shocks subside.The contributions of this study are threefold.First,it expands the academic understanding of the economic value of government procurement by examining its stabilizing role for enterprises facing uncertainty shocks,providing a beneficial supplement to existing research on government procurement.Second,it enriches the literature on factors influencing enterprise resilience.While existing literature mostly explores factors affecting resilience from the perspective of enterprise conditions,this study pioneers in demonstrating that positive interactions between government and enterprises help enhance enterprise resilience,offering a fresh perspective on understanding resilience issues.Third,it holds significant reference value for Chinese government departments in formulating supportive policies for private economic development in the historical new journey.Given the continuous emphasis on the development of the private economy by the Central Committee,with special attention in the 20th Party Congress report on optimizing the development environment for private enterprises and promoting their growth,the findings of this study provide valuable insights for government departments at all levels to contemplate effective policies that support the combination of capable government and efficient markets in the historical new journey.

Uncertainty ShockGovernment ProcurementCorporate Resilience

潘越、柯进军、宁博

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厦门大学经济学院

厦门大学管理学院

不确定性冲击 政府采购 企业发展韧性

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金国家自然科学基金面上项目国家自然科学基金面上项目国家社会科学基金重点项目

72102201719721607217213423AZD023

2024

数量经济技术经济研究
数量经济与技术经济研究所

数量经济技术经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.069
ISSN:1000-3894
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)
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