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数"政"强贸:数字化政府建设与中国出口产品质量升级

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深入推进数字化政府建设,加快政府职能转变,能够充分激发市场活力及社会创造力,从而有效驱动中国外贸高质量发展.本文利用机器学习方法和中国各地级市《政府工作报告》文本大数据测算了城市层面的数字化政府建设指数,并结合中国海关数据库和中国城市统计年鉴,从"城市-产品"层面实证考察了数字化政府建设对中国城市出口产品质量的影响及作用机制,研究发现数字化政府建设能够有效推动中国城市出 口产品质量升级.机制分析结果表明,数字化政府建设通过信息成本降低效应、城市创新驱动效应和资源配置优化效应推动中国城市出口产品质量升级.异质性分析表明,数字化政府建设因城市行政级别、上级政府效率、产品时间敏感度、出口贸易类型的差异而对城市出口产品质量产生差异化影响.本文研究结论能够有效阐释政府部门数字化转型对中国出口高质量发展的驱动作用,并为利用数字化政府建设支撑"数字强贸"工程提供可靠的政策参考.
Digital Government Empowering Trade:Digital Government Construction and Quality Upgrading of Chinese Exports
Currently,despite the rapid growth of China's export trade,there is still a gap between the quality of China's export products and those of developed countries.To build a"Chinese path to modernization",efforts must be intensified to solve the problem that China's export trade is large in scale but not good in quality.In the era of the"digital revolution",digital transformation has become the core driving force of high-quality development in China's economy and society.In China,governments at all levels are actively embracing the wave of digital transformation by strengthening the construction of digital government.With the third wave of globalization,digital technology has become a key force in reshaping the international trade pattern.Moreover,as an important feature of the wide application of digital technology in government departments,the positive role of digital government in spurring the vitality of market entities,strengthening data governance,and supporting institutional innovation is further advanced.This raises the following question:from the perspective of China's trade development,can the construction of digital government be used as a new engine to promote high-quality export development?Relevant literature has focused on the impact of digital technology empowerment in the production and trading sectors on the quality of export products,but research on the high-quality development of export trade from the perspective of the digital transformation of government departments is still scarce.Additionally,due to limited data availability,existing literature on the economic effects of digital government only focuses on the national level and fails to effectively measure the construction of digital governments.Based on text big data from the"Government Work Report"of various Chinese cities,this study uses machine learning methods to measure the digital government construction index and then matches them with the China Customs Database and China City Statistical Yearbook.It empirically investigates the influence of digital government construction on export product quality upgrading and the underlying mechanism.The conclusions of this study are as follows:First,digital government construction can significantly improve the quality of China's urban export products.The robustness of this conclusion is validated through causal inference such as instrumental variable(Ⅳ)and staggered difference-in-differences(DID).Second,digital government construction can improve the upgrading of export product quality through three channels:reducing information costs,stimulating urban innovation,and optimizing resource allocation.Third,the construction of digital government has a heterogeneous impact on export product quality,influenced by variations in urban administrative levels,governmental efficiency,product time sensitivity,and export trade categories.This study contributes to the existing literature in four main ways.First,this is the first study to examine the effects of China's digital government construction and the upgrading of urban export products.Second,utilizing data from the"Government Work Report"of Chinese cities,this study uses machine learning methods to accurately measure the digital government construction index of Chinese cities.It fills in the research gap of the digital government index at the city level.Third,to identify the causal effect,it constructs Ⅳ using two strategies:exogenous shock and shift-share analyses.Moreover,we design a staggered DID model by taking advantage of the characteristics that Chinese cities promote the construction of digital government in batches.Fourth,in terms of mechanism,this study explores how the information cost reduction effect,urban innovation driving effect,and resource optimization effect of digital government construction promote the upgrading of urban export product quality.This study can effectively explain the driving effect of government digital transformations on high-quality export development in China and provide a reliable policy reference for using digital government construction to support the"digital intensive trade"initiative.

Digital GovernmentQuality of Export ProductsGovernment Work ReportMachine Learning

刘文革、耿景珠、杜明威

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辽宁大学国际经济政治学院

数字化政府 出口产品质量 政府工作报告 机器学习

国家社会科学基金重大专项辽宁省兴辽英才计划辽宁省社会科学规划基金

18VSJ024XLYC2002042L23CJ001

2024

数量经济技术经济研究
数量经济与技术经济研究所

数量经济技术经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.069
ISSN:1000-3894
年,卷(期):2024.41(6)
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