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河南省碳排放、经济增长和能源消费的关联度研究

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2022 年河南省GDP占全国的5。1%,能源消耗总量占全国的 4。5%,消耗能源产生的碳排放量约是全国的 4。7%,与已经实现碳达峰的省市相比仍需加强碳排放的管理。使用Tapio脱钩模型,对河南省 2000-2022 年碳排放、经济增长和能源消费三者之间的关联程度进行研究。结果表明:河南省碳排放、经济增长和能源消费之间仍存在不稳定的脱钩关系。河南省工业发展偏向重工业,对经济的贡献率呈下行趋势;减排、节能工作需继续推进,能源消费仍以煤炭为主,经济增长中仍存在较高的碳排放,尚未达到低碳目标;能源消费效率有待进一步提高,需进行针对性的政策调整。
The Correlation between Carbon Emissions,Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Henan Province
In 2022,the GDP of Henan Province accounts for 5.1%of the country,the total energy consumption ac-counts for 4.5%of the country,and the carbon emissions generated by energy consumption is about 4.7%of the country.Compared with the provinces and cities that have achieved the carbon peak,the management of carbon e-missions still needs to be strengthened.This paper uses the Tapio decoupling model to study the degree of correlation among carbon emissions,economic growth and energy consumption in Henan Province during 2000-2022.The re-sults show that there is still an unstable decoupling relationship between carbon emission,economic growth and en-ergy consumption in Henan Province.Energy consumption is still dominated by coal,and there are still high carbon emissions in economic growth,which has not yet reached the low-carbon goal.Energy consumption efficiency needs to be further improved;Industrial development is biased towards heavy industry,and the contribution rate to the e-conomy shows a downward trend.The work of emission reduction and energy conservation needs to continue to ad-vance,and targeted policy adjustments need to be made.

the model of Tapio decouplingcarbon emissionsenergy consumptioneconomic growth

袁小舒、马海霞

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新疆师范大学 商学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017

Tapio脱钩模型 碳排放 能源消费 经济增长

2024

普洱学院学报
思茅师范高等专科学校

普洱学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.173
ISSN:2095-7734
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)