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区域碳安全评价及预测研究

Region Carbon Safety Assessment and Prediction

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运用《2006年IPCC国家温室气体清单指南》推荐的参考方法,对四川省2000~2011年间的化石能源消费、生物质能利用、特殊工业生产所产生的碳足迹和各类植被的固定能力进行估算和分析,并采用碳赤字、碳压力指数等对四川省的碳安全状况进行评估和预测.结果表明:四川省碳安全等级除2000年处于“很不安全”外,自2001年以来均处于“极不安全”的状态,且其碳安全程度呈现持续下降的趋势.为防止碳安全程度的进一步下降,四川省应采取强力措施,切实降低碳足迹和提高固碳能力,努力实现低碳发展.
Using the reference method recommended by 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories this paper estimates and analyzes the consumption of fossil energy,biomass utilization,and special industrial production of various types of carbon footprint and carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation in Sichuan province from 2000 to 2011.And the carbon deficit and carbon stress index are used to assess and predict carbon security situation in Sichuan province.The results show that:the carbon security grade of Sichuan Province was "very unsafe" in 2000,since 2001 it has been in a state of "terribly unsafe",and the carbon safety degree is decreasing.In order to prevent the downward trend,Sichuan Province should try the best to take strong measures to reduce the carbon footprint and increase carbon sequestration capacity,to achieve low-carbon development.

carbon footprintcarbon sequestration capacitycarbon safetySichuan Province

邱高会

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成都医学院思想政治理论教学部,四川成都610500

碳足迹 碳承载力 碳安全 四川省

国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金西部项目四川省教育厅面上项目

10&ZD02412XKS03011SB151

2014

生态经济
云南教育出版社

生态经济

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.041
ISSN:1671-4407
年,卷(期):2014.30(8)
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