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中国畜牧业碳排放效率时空演化特征及其溢出效应研究

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碳达峰碳中和是实现低碳发展的内在要求,畜牧业碳排放效率直接影响我国的低碳发展.基于中国31个省份2000-2020年的数据,运用EBM模型对畜牧业碳排放效率进行测度,并依靠空间杜宾模型探讨畜牧业碳排放效率的溢出效应.结果表明:(1)我国畜牧业碳排放效率由高到低依次是东部、中部、西部、东北,还存在较大的减排潜力,区域间发展不平衡的现象在逐渐加剧.(2)总体上我国畜牧业碳排放效率呈显著的空间正相关.(3)产业集聚、城镇化水平、乡村从业人员文化水平对畜牧业碳排放效率有显著的正向影响,经济发展水平和环境规制水平对畜牧业碳排放效率则表现为显著的负向影响;财政支农水平和产业结构对畜牧业碳排放效率有显著的负外部性影响.(4)各地区要优化减排增效目标,加强区域间交流合作,充分利用溢出效应,以实现畜牧业低碳发展.
Study on the Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Spillover Effects of Carbon Emission Efficiency in China's Livestock Industry
Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality are inherent requirements for achieving low-carbon development,and the carbon emission efficiency of animal husbandry directly affects China's low-carbon development.Based on the data of 31 Provinces in China from 2000 to 2020,the EBM model is used to measure the carbon emission efficiency of animal husbandry,and the spatial Durbin model is used to explore the spillover effect of carbon emission efficiency of animal husbandry.The results indicate that:(1)The carbon emission efficiency of animal husbandry in China is ranked from high to low in the eastern,central,western,and northeastern regions,with significant potential for emission reduction.The phenomenon of uneven development among regions is gradually intensifying.(2)Overall,there is a significant spatial positive correlation between carbon emission efficiency of animal husbandry in China.(3)Industrial agglomeration,urbanization level,and cultural level of rural employees have a significant positive impact on the carbon emission efficiency of animal husbandry,while economic development level and environmental regulation level have a significant negative impact.The level of financial support for agriculture and industrial structure have a significant negative externality impact on the carbon emission efficiency of animal husbandry.(4)Each region should optimize emission reduction and efficiency targets,strengthen regional exchanges and cooperation,fully utilize spillover effects,and achieve low-carbon development of animal husbandry.

animal husbandrycarbon emission efficiencyspatiotemporal evolutionoverflow effect

王福增、李翠霞、崔力航

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东北农业大学 经济管理学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150030

畜牧业 碳排放效率 时空演化 溢出效应

2025

生态经济
云南教育出版社

生态经济

北大核心
影响因子:1.041
ISSN:1671-4407
年,卷(期):2025.41(1)