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中国快速交通系统与旅游生态效率脱钩关系及时空格局演化

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厘清快速交通系统与旅游生态效率发展的动态脱钩关系,对依托快速交通建设布局驱动旅游业高质量发展具有重要意义。论文基于2009-2020年中国省域面板数据,通过熵权法、旅游碳排放测算模型、Super-SBM模型测算快速交通系统和旅游生态效率的综合发展水平,采用Tapio脱钩模型和马尔科夫模型揭示二者脱钩关系的时空演化规律与状态转移特征。研究发现:(1)整体来看,中国快速交通系统发展水平呈现稳定增长态势,旅游生态效率则波动下降。(2)研究期内,省域和区域层次的脱钩关系均以强负脱钩为主。(3)省域主流脱钩关系呈现多种脱钩类型交替嬗变的时序演化特征,存在连接状态覆盖范围逐渐压缩、脱钩北上和负脱钩南下的空间转移趋向。(4)省域脱钩状态主要发生向"上"转移,负脱钩关系的稳定性最强且存在空间集聚倾向,不同脱钩状态的邻域对省域脱钩状态转移存在明显异质影响。
Decoupling Relationship and Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution between China's Rapid Transportation System and Tourism Eco-Efficiency
Clarifying the dynamic decoupling relationship between the rapid transit system and tourism eco-efficiency is crucial for driving the high-quality development of tourism based on the layout of rapid transit construction.Utilizing provincial panel data from 2009 to 2020,the research employs the entropy value assignment method,a tourism carbon emission measurement model,and the Super-SBM model to measure the comprehensive development level of the rapid transit system and tourism eco-efficiency.Additionally,the Tapio decoupling model and the Markov model are used to reveal the spatial-temporal evolution law and state transition characteristics of the decoupling relationship between the two.The results show that:(1)On the whole,the development level of China's rapid transit system shows a steady growth trend,while the tourism eco-efficiency exhibit fluctuating decline.(2)During the study period,the decoupling relationships at the provincial and regional levels are both dominated by strong negative decoupling.(3)The mainstream decoupling relationship of the province presents the temporal evolution characteristics of the alternating evolution of various decoupling types,and there is a spatial transfer trend that the coverage of the connection state gradually compressed,decoupling state moves northward and negative decoupling state moves southward.(4)The provincial decoupling state mainly transfers to the"upper",and the negative decoupling relationship has the strongest stability and spatial agglomeration tendency.The neighborhood in different decoupling states has obvious heterogeneous effects on the provincial decoupling state transfer.

rapid transit systemtourism eco-efficiencydecoupling relationshipMarkov chainChina

白洋、李亚茹

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新疆大学 新疆历史文化旅游可持续发展重点实验室,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046

新疆大学 旅游学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046

快速交通系统 旅游生态效率 脱钩关系 马尔科夫链 中国

2025

生态经济
云南教育出版社

生态经济

北大核心
影响因子:1.041
ISSN:1671-4407
年,卷(期):2025.41(1)