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可可西里自然保护区气候变化对植被特征的影响

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基于GIMMS NDVI和MODIS NDVI数据集,通过一元线性回归模型构建1982-2020年GIMMS-MODIS长时序NDVI数据集,辅以趋势分析、显著性检验以及相关性分析等方法,研究1982-2020年可可西里自然保护区植被NDVI时空分布特征以及变化趋势,并基于像元尺度分析了NDVI对温度、降水变化的响应.结果表明:1982-2020年年均温度、年均降水量均呈现显著上升的趋势,上升速率分别为0.06 ℃·a-1、5.59 mm·a-1;1982-2020年NDVI变化呈现由西北向东南逐渐增加的趋势,夏季NDVI值最大,变化最为明显;冬季NDVI值最小,变化趋于平稳;植被年均NDVI与年均气温表现为不显著的正相关,基于像元尺度分析,NDVI与温度之间的相关性以正向居多且大于NDVI与降水的正相关比例,以秋季的相关性最强,温度对NDVI的影响大于降水.
The impact of climate change on vegetation characteristics in Hoh Xil Nature Reserve
Based on the GIMMS NDVI and MODIS NDVI datasets,we constructed a long-term GIMMS-MODIS NDVI dataset of 1982-2020 in Hoh Xil with a simple linear regression model.We analyzed the temporal and spatial variations of NDVI by adopting trend analysis,significance test,and correlation analysis,and analyzed the respon-ses of NDVI to temperature and precipitation based on pixel scale.The results showed that the average annual tem-perature and precipitation showed a significant rising trend in Hoh Xil from 1982 to 2020,with a rising rate of 0.06℃·a-1 and 5.59 mm·a-1,respectively.The NDVI increased gradually from northwest to southeast of Hoh Xil during 1982-2020.The NDVI value was the largest and varied most obviously in summer,while it was the smallest and tended to be stable in winter.The annual average NDVI showed a non-significant positive correlation with the average annual temperature.At the pixel scale,the correlations between NDVI and temperature were predominantly positively,surpassing that between NDVI and precipitation.The correlation was the strongest in autumn.The impact of temperature on NDVI outweighed that of precipitation.

Hoh Xil Natural ReserveGIMMS NDVIMOD13A3temperatureprecipitation

李秀萍、郝仕龙、姚瑞晨、张岩

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华北水利水电大学,郑州 450046

河南省水土保持监测总站,郑州 450002

可可西里自然保护区 GIMMS NDVI MOD13A3 温度 降水量

水利部黄土高原水土流失过程与控制重点实验室开放基金河南省科技攻关计划

201603222102320281

2024

生态学杂志
中国生态学学会

生态学杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.439
ISSN:1000-4890
年,卷(期):2024.43(6)
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