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基于最大熵模型的麋鹿潜在栖息地分析与保护对策

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麋鹿(Elaphurus davidianus)是中国特有珍稀物种,是世界上野外灭绝动物重引入的成功典范,具有极重要的科学价值和保护意义。对麋鹿栖息地适宜性的研究能为麋鹿的保护工作提供数据支撑和科学依据,可为未来麋鹿的种群扩繁提供参考。本研究采用15个野生/半散养种群分布点和11个可能影响麋鹿分布的环境变量,基于最大熵(MaxEnt)模型,通过对比自然条件和受人类活动影响两种情景下的麋鹿潜在分布格局和环境变量响应情况,对麋鹿最有可能的潜在栖息地和限制其分布的环境因子进行了研究。结果表明:在只考虑自然条件情况下,模型预测麋鹿在中国的潜在适宜栖息地总面积可达我国陆地总面积的49。8%,其中高适宜栖息地面积达526056。3 km2,占我国陆地总面积的5。5%,主要分布在中东部湿润平原地区;海拔、坡向和植被类型是贡献最高的环境变量。考虑人类活动的影响,麋鹿潜在栖息地总面积减小量占全国陆地总面积的13。5%,高适宜栖息地面积缩减到317808。3 km2,仅占陆地总面积的3。3%,栖息地呈现明显的破碎化趋势;海拔的适宜值域缩小并整体向低海拔移动,最适海拔阈值由647 m降至635 m;麋鹿的存在概率与人为干扰变量未呈明显负相关,这可能与保护地位置受人为设置,重引入的种源扩散地靠近人类活动区有关。因此,提出增设保护地、建立完善的保护区巡回监测体系、建设生态廊道、人工干预种间交流、加强资源配备、完善生态补偿机制等建议。
Potential habitat analysis and conservation strategies of Pére David's deer based on MaxEnt model
Pére David's deer(Elaphurus davidianus),an endemic rare species in China,is a successful case of the reintroduction of wild extinct species,which gave a mode of reintroduction of wildlife in biodiversity conserva-tion.Understanding the potential habitat suitability of Pére David's deer can provide ecological information and a scientific basis for its conservation and population propagation.In this study,15 distribution sites of free/semi-free populations and 11 environmental variables that may affect the distribution of Pére David's deer were used to pre-dict the most likely potential habitat and analyze its limiting factors by contrasting two conditions:natural conditions and human disturbance conditions,based on the MaxEnt model.The results showed that the total potential habitat for Pére David's deer under natural conditions reached 4791795.3 km2,accounting for 49.8%of China's total land area.The area of highly suitable habitat was 526056.3 km2,accounting for 5.5%of the total land area of Chi-na and mainly distributed in the humid plains in the east-central region.Altitude,slope aspect,and vegetation type were the environmental factors with higher contribution.When considering human activity factors,the potential habitat of Pére David's deer reduced by 13.5%of the total land area.The area of highly suitable habitat was reduced to 317808.3 km2,accounting for only 3.3%of the total land area in China.The habitat showed an obvious trend of fragmentation.The range of suitable altitude values is decreased and moved to lower altitudes,and the optimal alti-tude threshold decreases from 647 m for natural conditions to 635 m for human-influenced conditions.There was no obvious negative correlation between the presence probability of Pére David's deer and human disturbance varia-bles,which may be related to the fact that the location of the protected area was artificially set and the reintroduced provenance spread sites were close to anthropic activity zone.Some suggestions were put forward,such as settingup protected areas,establishing a perfect circuit monitoring system of protected areas,developing ecological corridors,artificially intervening interspecies communication,strengthening resource allocation,and improving ecological compensation mechanism.

Pére David's deer(Elaphuruis davidianus)MaxEnt modelhabitat suitabilitypotential habitatpro-tection countermeasure

杨丽雯、张渊媛、杨峥、钟震宇、白加德、桑卫国

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中央民族大学,北京 100081

北京生物多样性保护研究中心,北京 100076

北京麋鹿生态实验中心,北京 100076

麋鹿 MaxEnt模型 栖息地适宜性 潜在栖息地 保护对策

北京市财政项目

23CB067

2024

生态学杂志
中国生态学学会

生态学杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.439
ISSN:1000-4890
年,卷(期):2024.43(8)