首页|1981-2020年黄淮海冬小麦干旱时空分异规律及演变趋势

1981-2020年黄淮海冬小麦干旱时空分异规律及演变趋势

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利用1981-2020年黄淮海冬小麦种植区气象、灾情、作物、土壤等多源数据,基于冬小麦参考作物蒸散量和需水量确定不同发育阶段冬小麦水分亏缺指数,结合冬小麦干旱等级分级标准,探讨不同干旱等级下黄淮海地区冬小麦干旱的时空分异规律和演变趋势,对该地区防灾减灾等均具有重要意义。结果表明:1981-2020年黄淮海地区冬小麦干旱存在明显的时空分异规律,冬小麦受到重度干旱的影响区域减少,而受中旱的影响区域在明显增加;对于全生育期,1981-2020年黄淮海地区冬小麦受灾最为严重的是重度干旱,其次为中度干旱,最后为轻度干旱。冬小麦干旱等级在空间上由北向南逐渐减弱,且呈条带状分布,35° N以北、120°E以东的冬小麦种植区基本常年处于重旱状态;对于冬前生长期,1981-2020年黄淮海主要种植区冬小麦受灾最为严重的是重度干旱,其次为中度干旱,最后为轻度干旱。冬小麦冬前生长期发生重旱的区域在明显减少,而发生中旱的区域在明显增加;对于越冬期,黄淮海主要种植区冬小麦受灾最为严重的是特旱,其次为重度干旱,最后为中度干旱。冬小麦越冬期发生重旱的区域在明显减少,而发生中旱的区域在明显增加;对于返青抽穗期,1981-2020年冬小麦干旱主要为轻旱、中旱、重旱和特旱4个等级,发生重旱的区域在明显减少,而发生特旱的区域在明显增加;对于灌浆成熟期,1981-2020年冬小麦干旱主要为无旱、轻旱和中旱3个等级,发生中旱的区域在明显减少,而发生轻旱的区域在明显增加。
Spatiotemporal differentiation and variation trend of drought in winter wheat in the Huang-Huai-Hai re-gion from 1981 to 2020
Multi-source data of meteorology,disaster,crop,and soil in the cultivation areas of winter wheat in the Huang-Huai-Hai region from 1981 to 2020 were used to determine the water deficit indices at different development stages of winter wheat based on the reference crop evapotranspiration and water demand.Combined with the drought classification standard of winter wheat,the spatial-temporal variations of droughts in winter wheat in the Huang-Huai-Hai region were explored,which was of great significance for disaster prevention and reduction.The results showed that droughts in winter wheat from 1981 to 2020 existed obvious temporal and spatial variations in the Huang-Huai-Hai region.The areas affected by severe drought decreased,while the areas affected by moderate drought significantly increased.For the whole growth period of winter wheat,the most serious disaster during 1981-2020 was severe drought in the Huang-Huai-Hai region,followed by moderate drought,and finally light drought.The drought level gradually weakened from the north to the south in space,with a striped distribution.The winter wheat growing regions of 35 °N northward and of 120° E eastward were basically suffered from serious drought all year round.For the growth period before winter,the most serious disaster during 1981-2020 was severe drought,followed by moderate drought and mild drought.The areas experiencing severe drought significantly decreased,while that affected by moderate drought significantly increased during the growth period before winter.For the over-wintering period,the winter wheat during 1981-2020 in the Huang-Huai-Hai region suffered the extreme drought,followed by severe drought,and finally moderate drought.The areas affected by severe drought obviously de-creased,while the areas affected by moderate drought increased during the overwintering period of winter wheat.For the period of regreening and heading,the droughts in winter wheat during 1981-2020 could be divided into four levels:mild drought,moderate drought,severe drought,and extreme drought.The areas with severe drought signi-ficantly decreased,while the areas with extreme drought significantly increased during the regreening and heading period of winter wheat.The droughts of winter wheat during the stage of grain filling and mature from 1981 to 2020 were mainly divided into three levels:no drought,mild drought,and moderate drought.The winter wheat areas with moderate drought were significantly decreased,while areas with mild drought increased during the stage of grain filling and mature.

Huang-Huai-Hai regionwinter wheatdroughtcrop water deficit index

赵俊芳、谢鸿飞、杨嘉琪、彭慧文、黄睿茜、霍治国、马玉平

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中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室,北京 100081

兰州中心气象台,兰州 730020

内蒙古农业大学农学院,呼和浩特 010019

南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,南京 210044

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黄淮海地区 冬小麦 干旱 作物水分亏缺指数

国家重点研发计划项目02课题中国气象科学研究院基本科研业务费专项基金项目

2022YFD23002022023Z014

2024

生态学杂志
中国生态学学会

生态学杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.439
ISSN:1000-4890
年,卷(期):2024.43(10)