首页|无资料地区Nash瞬时单位线参数推求方法探究

无资料地区Nash瞬时单位线参数推求方法探究

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Nash瞬时单位线在洪水预报中应用广泛,但易受实测资料限制,为推广其在无资料地区的应用,采用文献分析和统计方法分析其在我国中小流域的历史参数取值,总结其参数规律,针对应用较多的长江流域做重点分析,将推求规律应用于黄河、长江和淮河的四个中小流域,并选取MFPM模型进行检验,四个流域的NES均大于0.75,结果表明该规律满足实践要求且具有统计学意义,推求公式应用不依赖于实测降雨径流资料,可在无资料地区进行推广.
Study on Parameter Estimation Method of Nash Instantaneous Unit Line in Ungauged Basin
Nash instantaneous unit line is widely used in flood prediction,but it is easy to be limited by actual measurement.To promote its application in area with no data,literature analysis and statistical methods were used to analyze its historical param-eters in the middle and small basins in China,and its parameter rules were summarized.The key analysis was made to the Yang-tze River basins which were widely used.The MFPM model was applied to the four small and medium-sized basins of the Yel-low River,the Yangtze River and the Huaihe River.NES in the four basins are greater than 0.75.The results show that the rule met the practical requirements and had statistical significance.The application of the formula did not depend on the measured rainfall and runoff data,and it could be extended in the areas without data.

Nash instantaneous unit lineregression analysisparameterssmall and medium-sized basin

侯东儒、张怡雯、王金星、韩臻悦、邬强、刘成帅、汤业海、孙悦、胡彩虹

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郑州大学黄河实验室,河南郑州 450000

水利部信息中心,北京 100053

Nash瞬时单位线 回归分析 参数 中小流域

国家重点研发计划国家自然科学基金国家自然科学重点基金

2019YFC15107035197925051739009

2023

水文
水利部水文局 水利部水利信息中心

水文

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.742
ISSN:1000-0852
年,卷(期):2023.43(6)
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