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无实测资料河流逐月水量估算方法适用性研究

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无实测资料河流逐月水量估算是最严格水资源管理制度考核的重要支撑.基于流域水文相似性原理和水量平衡原理,选用径流模数法、径流系数法、区域水量平衡法,研究提出其逐月水量估算适用范围和估算成果合理性分析标准.以现有水文站为假设断面,采用参证水文站资料进行假设断面水量估算,对三种方法的适用范围和估算成果合理性分析标准进行验证.结果表明,径流模数法适用于集水面积相差不超过20%情形和考虑区间蓄泄水变量情况的集水面积相差在20%至1倍之间情形;径流系数法适用于集水面积相差在20%至1.5倍之间且估算时段有洪水过程情形;区间水量平衡法适用于上下游参证水文站面积比在3倍以内情形;"两种方法相对偏差小于18%"的估算成果合理性分析标准可行.
Applicability Study on Monthly Water Quantity Estimate Method in the Ungaged River
The estimate of monthly water volume in the ungaged river is an important support for the most stringent water re-sources management system.Based on the principle of hydrological similarity and water balance,the rationality analysis standards of runoff modulus method,runoff coefficient method,regional water balance method and the rationality analysis standard of esti-mate results were proposed.Taking the existing hydrological station as the hypothetical section,the water volume of the hypotheti-cal section was estimated by using the data of the reference hydrological station,and the application scope of the three methods was analyzed and verified.The runoff modulus method is applicable to the case that the difference of catchment area is no more than 20%and the case that the difference of catchment area is between 20%and 1 time when considering the variable of inter-val water storage and discharge.The runoff coefficient method is applicable to the situation that the difference of catchment area is between 20%and 1.5 times and there is flood process in the estimate period;The interval water balance method is applicable to the case that the area ratio of upstream and downstream reference hydrological stations is less than 3 times;"the relative devia-tion of the two methods is less than 18%"is feasible.

the strictest water resources management systemungaged riverwater quantity evaluationestimate methodapplicabil-ity study

杨静波、文宏展、杨岚

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广西壮族自治区水文中心,广西南宁 530023

最严格水资源管理制度 无实测资料河流 水量评价 估算方法 适用性研究

广西壮族自治区地方标准制定项目

桂市监管[2020]1832号

2024

水文
水利部水文局 水利部水利信息中心

水文

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.742
ISSN:1000-0852
年,卷(期):2024.44(1)
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