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一类具有Markov切换的随机HPV传染病模型的持久性

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为了研究随机扰动和环境状态变化对HPV传染病的影响,为制定有效的HPV疾病防控措施提供理论基础,本文建立一类具有白噪声干扰和Markov切换的两性随机HPV传染病模型,证明其存在唯一的局部正解和唯一的全局正解;然后确定HPV疾病持久的阈值条件,利用Lyapunov方法和伊藤公式对疾病的持久性进行证明;最后进行数值模拟,验证本文理论结果的合理性.
Persistence of a Stochastic HPV Epidemic Model with Markov Switching
In order to study the influence of stochastic disturbance and environment switching on the HPV infection and provide a theoretical basis for the development of effective HPV disease prevention measures,in this paper we establish a kind of two-sex stochastic HPV epidemic model with white noise and Markov switching.We show that the model has a unique local positive solution and a unique global positive solution.Then we identify the threshold conditions for the persistence of the HPV epidemic,and verify the persistence of the disease using the Lyapunov method and the Itô formula.At last,the numerical simulation is carried out to illustrate the rationality of the theoretical results.

Stochastic epidemic modelHPVWhite noiseMarkov switchingPersistence

李霁原、邱宏、鞠学伟

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中国民航大学理学院,天津,300300

随机传染病模型 HPV 白噪声 Markov切换 持久性

2024

数学理论与应用
湖南省数学学会

数学理论与应用

影响因子:0.281
ISSN:1006-8074
年,卷(期):2024.44(4)