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长江干线武安段6m水深航道整治工程航运经济效益评估

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武安段6 m水深航道整治工程建成后,万吨级江海船舶可常年直达武汉,航运经济效益十分显著.以散杂货为代表船舶,按照有无对比、实际发生原则,基于 2018-2022 年武安段通航统计数据,科学评估武安段航道货运量和船舶结构,并在此基础上构建航运经济效益定量计算模型,对武安段实施后航运经济效益进行评估.经测算,2022 年武安段散杂货船产生的航运经济效益达 4.84 亿元,超过工程设计阶段的预期目标.研究不仅可用于确定工程主要经济效益指标是否实现,为工程后评估提供重要参考,还有利于指导航道工程项目的投资和管理,为推进相关项目计划和政策优化提供依据.
Evaluation on navigation economic benefits of 6-meter-deep waterway regulation project in Wu'an section of the Yangtze River main line
After the completion of the 6-meter-deep waterway regulation project in Wu'an section,10,000-ton river and sea ships can pass through Wuhan throughout the year,and the economic benefit of shipping is very significant.Taking bulk cargo as a representative ship,this paper scientifically evaluates the freight volume and ship structure of Wu'an section based on the statistical data of Wu'an section from 2018 to 2022 in accordance with the principle of"with and without"and actual occurrence.On this basis,the quantitative calculation model of shipping economic benefit is built to evaluate the shipping economic benefit after the implementation of Wu'an section.It is estimated that in 2022,the shipping economic benefit of wu'an section bulk carriers will reach 484 million yuan,exceeding the expected target of the engineering design stage.The research can not only be used to determine whether the main economic benefit indicators of the project are realized,and provide an important reference for the post-project evaluation,but also help to guide the investment and management of waterway engineering projects,and provide a basis for promoting the optimization of relevant project plans and policies.

Wu'an section projectbulk cargo shipwith and without methodnavigation economic benefitquantitative assessment

赵振、董鸿瑜、许鹏、陈洁、李蕾、孙辉

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长江航运发展研究中心,湖北 武汉,430014

长江航道规划设计研究院,湖北 武汉,430040

长江三峡通航管理局,湖北 宜昌,443000

武安段工程 散杂货船 有无对比法 航运经济效益 定量评估

2024

水运工程
中交水运规划设计院有限公司

水运工程

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.428
ISSN:1002-4972
年,卷(期):2024.(6)
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