首页|基于DBO-SVM的采空区煤自燃危险性预测

基于DBO-SVM的采空区煤自燃危险性预测

Prediction of Spontaneous Combustion Fire in Goaf Based on DBO-SVM

扫码查看
为实现采空区煤自燃危险的准确预警,避免自燃火灾的发生,引入蜣螂优化(dung beetle optimizer,DBO)算法与支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)算法相结合的煤自燃预测模型.选取O2、N2浓度等十种指标作为自燃预测输入指标,自燃危险性等级作为输出指标,对所建模型进行训练,以四种分类性能评价指标检验模型的预测性能和精度,同时将DBO-SVM 模型分别与DBO优化反向传播神经网络(BPNN)模型、粒子群优化算法(PSO)、优化BPNN神经网络模型以及SVM模型的预测结果进行对比分析.结果表明:DBO-SVM模型准确率相较于 DBO-BPNN、PSO-BPNN、SVM 模型分别提高了 13.33%、20%、33.33%.将 DBO-SVM 模型应用于山西晋牛煤矿工作面煤自燃预测,该模型能快速准确地对不同矿井采空区煤自燃危险性进行预测,表明DBO-SVM模型相较于其他模型更具普适性和稳定性,更适合钻孔自燃预测.
To achieve accurate warning of spontaneous combustion fire in goaf and avoid it,a coal spontaneous combustion prediction model combined with dung beetle optimizer(DBO)and support vector machine(SVM)algorithm is introduced.Ten indexes such as O2 and N2 are selected as the input indexes of spontaneous combustion prediction,and the spontaneous combustion risk level is used as the output index to train the established model.Four classification performance evaluation indexes are used to test the prediction performance and accuracy of the model.Meanwhile,the pre-diction results of DBO-SVM model,back propagation neural network(BPNN)model optimized by DBO,BPNN neural network model optimized by particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO)and SVM model are compared and analyzed.The results show that the accuracy of DBO-SVM model is increased by 13.33%,20%and 33.33%respectively compared with DBO-BPNN、PSO-BPNN and SVM models.Finally,the model is applied to the prediction of coal spontaneous combustion in the working face of Jinniu Coal Mine in Shanxi Province.The prediction results show that the DBO-SVM model can quickly and accurately predict the risk of spontaneous combustion fire in goaf of different mines,indicating that the DBO-SVM model is more universal and stable than other mod-els,and that it is more suitable for the prediction of spontaneous combustion of boreholes.

goafcoal spontaneous combustionprediction modeldung beetle optimizersupport vector machine

薛凯隆、崔欣超、祁云、齐庆杰

展开 >

山西大同大学煤炭工程学院,山西大同 037000

辽宁工业大学机械工程与自动化学院,辽宁锦州 121001

煤炭科学研究总院应急科学研究院,北京 100013

采空区 煤自燃 预测模型 蜣螂优化算法 支持向量机

国家自然科学基金面上项目山西大同大学研究生教育创新项目

5217418823CX49

2024

沈阳理工大学学报
沈阳理工大学

沈阳理工大学学报

影响因子:0.223
ISSN:1003-1251
年,卷(期):2024.43(6)