The Influencing Factors Analysis and Situation Prediction of Carbon Emissions in the Operation Stage of Buildings
The long life cycle of the building itself determines that the carbon emissions in the operation stage account for more than half of the carbon emissions of the whole process.Using the data from 2000 to 2021,the STAPAT model was constructed to analyze the main influencing factors of carbon emissions in the operation stage of public buildings,urban residential buildings and rural residential buildings.This paper concluded that population was the most important driving factor affecting the carbon emissions of the operation of the three major building types,with impact factors of 3.263,2.284 and 2.660,respectively,and energy structure was an important inhibitor of public buildings and rural residential buildings.The impact factors were 1.465 and 1.235,respectively,followed by construction area,disposable income of residents,the added value of the tertiary industry and the number of cooling degree days.Based on qualitative and quantitative analysis,countermeasures and suggestions are put forward for future carbon emission reduction.