沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)2024,Vol.26Issue(5) :523-531.DOI:10.11717/j.issn.1673-1387.2024.05.13

基于GWR模型的高铁站域犯罪风险预测及影响因素空间分异研究

Research on Crime Risk Prediction and Spatial Differentiation of Influencing Factors in High-Speed Rail Stations Based on GWR Model

桂汪洋 周信 程梦楠
沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)2024,Vol.26Issue(5) :523-531.DOI:10.11717/j.issn.1673-1387.2024.05.13

基于GWR模型的高铁站域犯罪风险预测及影响因素空间分异研究

Research on Crime Risk Prediction and Spatial Differentiation of Influencing Factors in High-Speed Rail Stations Based on GWR Model

桂汪洋 1周信 1程梦楠1
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作者信息

  • 1. 安徽建筑大学建筑与规划学院,安徽 合肥 230601
  • 折叠

摘要

为掌握城市建成环境对高铁站域犯罪的影响规律,确保高铁站域公共安全,通过两个典型新老高铁站域的对比,研究不同发展阶段的高铁站域犯罪关联性因素及其空间异质性.结合CPTED理论与圈层理论,运用地理加权回归与GIS空间分析等方法,构建了犯罪风险预测模型,测度新老高铁站域犯罪风险程度,探究了不同圈层犯罪分布特征,分析了不同建成环境对高铁站域犯罪的影响机制.

Abstract

In order to grasp the influence of urban built environment on high-speed rail station crime and ensure the public safety of high-speed rail station,the correlation factors and spatial heterogeneity of high-speed rail station at different development stages are studied through the comparison of two typical new and old high-speed railway stations.Combined with CPTED theory and circle theory,the geographically weighted regression and GIS spatial analysis were used to construct a crime risk prediction model,measure the degree of crime risk in new and old high-speed railway stations,explore the distribution characteristics of crimes in different circles,and analyze the influence mechanism of the differently established environments on crimes in high-speed rail stations.

关键词

CPTED理论/高铁站域/圈层结构/犯罪防控/风险预测

Key words

CPTED theory/high-speed rail station area/circle structure/crime prevention and control/risk prediction

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出版年

2024
沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)
沈阳建筑大学

沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.784
ISSN:1673-1387
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