首页|基于GWR模型的高铁站域犯罪风险预测及影响因素空间分异研究

基于GWR模型的高铁站域犯罪风险预测及影响因素空间分异研究

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为掌握城市建成环境对高铁站域犯罪的影响规律,确保高铁站域公共安全,通过两个典型新老高铁站域的对比,研究不同发展阶段的高铁站域犯罪关联性因素及其空间异质性.结合CPTED理论与圈层理论,运用地理加权回归与GIS空间分析等方法,构建了犯罪风险预测模型,测度新老高铁站域犯罪风险程度,探究了不同圈层犯罪分布特征,分析了不同建成环境对高铁站域犯罪的影响机制.
Research on Crime Risk Prediction and Spatial Differentiation of Influencing Factors in High-Speed Rail Stations Based on GWR Model
In order to grasp the influence of urban built environment on high-speed rail station crime and ensure the public safety of high-speed rail station,the correlation factors and spatial heterogeneity of high-speed rail station at different development stages are studied through the comparison of two typical new and old high-speed railway stations.Combined with CPTED theory and circle theory,the geographically weighted regression and GIS spatial analysis were used to construct a crime risk prediction model,measure the degree of crime risk in new and old high-speed railway stations,explore the distribution characteristics of crimes in different circles,and analyze the influence mechanism of the differently established environments on crimes in high-speed rail stations.

CPTED theoryhigh-speed rail station areacircle structurecrime prevention and controlrisk prediction

桂汪洋、周信、程梦楠

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安徽建筑大学建筑与规划学院,安徽 合肥 230601

CPTED理论 高铁站域 圈层结构 犯罪防控 风险预测

2024

沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)
沈阳建筑大学

沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.784
ISSN:1673-1387
年,卷(期):2024.26(5)