首页|基于装置运行平稳性的石油化工安全管理策略研究

基于装置运行平稳性的石油化工安全管理策略研究

RESEARCH ON SAFETY MANAGEMENT STRATEGY OF PETROCHEMICAL PRODUCTION BASED ON THE STABILITY OF PLANT OPERATION

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为了找出并评价石化装置支配性风险因素,实现安全生产风险源头控制和管理,满足石化装置安全生产风险控制的高效性要求,通过建立石化装置事故风险影响模型,运用决策试验与评估实验室方法(DEMATEL)从"现代事故因果连锁理论"视角分析发现人、机(物)等风险因素都受管理因素支配.进而,基于工艺稳定性、工艺稳定性修正、非计划停工3个指标建立石化装置平稳性模型,对装置运行平稳率进行追踪统计,并通过实例对该模型进行了分析和验证.结果表明:该石化装置运行平稳性模型可以量化追踪事故风险支配性因素的控制效果,可展示石化装置不同阶段下的风险特点,可作为装置事故风险预警指标和安全管理绩效指标,可提高装置的安全管理水平.
In order to find out and evaluate the dominant risk factors of petrochemical plants,to realize the control and management of safety production risks at source,and to meet the requirements of high efficiency of safety production risk control of petrochemical plants,through establishing petrochemical plant accident risk impact model,using the method of the decision-making test and evaluation laboratory method from the perspective of"modern accident causal chain theory",it was found that risk factors such as man,machine(thing)are controlled by management factors.Then,based on the three indexes of process stability,process stability correction and unplanned shutdown,the model of petrochemical plants'smoothness was established,and the stability rate of the plant was tracked and counted.The model was analyzed and verified by an example.The results showed that the stability model of petrochemical plants could quantify the control effect of the dominant factors of accident risk and show the risk characteristics of petrochemical plants at different stages.It can be used as an early warning index and safety management performance index to improve the safety management level of petrochemical plants.

decision-making test and evaluation laboratory methoddominant accident risk factorpetrochemical plantsafety managementplant stability

姜国刚、王海超、黄文萍

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常州大学吴敬琏经济学院,江苏常州 213146

江苏能源战略研究基地

常州大学商学院

江苏省技术转移(常州大学)研究院

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DEMATEL 支配性事故风险 石化装置 安全管理 装置平稳性

国家社会科学基金重点项目国家社会科学基金重大项目江苏省教育厅高等学校哲学社会科学研究重大项目

23AJY01922&ZD1222022SJZD062

2024

石油炼制与化工
中国石油化工股份有限公司石油化工科学研究院

石油炼制与化工

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子：0.825
ISSN：1005-2399
年,卷(期)：2024.55(4)
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