首页|安徽省耕地资源经济价值核算及其时空异质特征——基于105个县级面板数据的实证检验

安徽省耕地资源经济价值核算及其时空异质特征——基于105个县级面板数据的实证检验

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耕地资源经济价值核算是落实全民所有自然资源资产保护和使用的关键环节.以安徽省105个县级行政单元作为核算单元,运用收益还原法核算耕地资源经济价值,采用动态度、空间自相关、核密度等模型算法分析耕地资源价值时空异质特征,划分不同类型区域并提出差异调控策略.结果表明:耕地资源价值整体呈现波动上升趋势,2020年安徽省耕地资源经济价值相较于2015年增加17.75万元·hm-2,增长幅度29.57%,年增长幅度达到5.91%;核算单元耕地资源经济价值范围5.29~297.85万元·hm-2,均值98.28万元·hm-2,呈现皖北和皖南两侧向内部递增的空间格局;耕地资源经济价值Moran's I指数介于0.102与0.265之间,从2016年以后Moran's I指数持续上升且变化幅度逐渐减小,表明安徽省耕地资源经济价值空间集聚态势不断显著且相对稳定;"高-高"聚集区诸多分布于皖南和皖北地区,"低-低"聚集区以皖中地区为主;核密度分布曲线整体向右平移,进一步表明耕地资源经济价值呈现快速增长趋势;划分为皖北提质增产型、皖中潜力挖掘型、皖西南维护发展型3个区域类型,针对每种类型提出耕地资源精准化保护和精细化管理策略建议.研究成果可为提升耕地资源经济价值及科学确定其补偿标准提供依据.
Accounting for Economic Value of Cultivated Land Resources in Anhui Province and Its Spatial and Temporal Heterogeneity Characteristics——Empirical Test Based on 105 County-level Panel Data
The economic value accounting of cultivated land resources is a key link in implementing the protection and use of natural resource assets owned by the whole people.Using 105 county-level administrative units in Anhui Province as accounting units,the income restoration method is used to calculate the economic value of cultivated land resources.Model algorithms such as dynamic degree,spatial autocorrelation,and kernel density are used to analyze the spatiotemporal heterogeneity characteristics of cultivated land resource value,divide different types of regions,and propose differential regulation strategies.The research results show that the overall value of cultivated land resources shows a fluctuating upward trend.In 2020,the economic value of cultivated land resources in Anhui Province increased by 177 500 yuan·hm-2 compared to 2015,with an increase of 29.57%and an annual growth rate of 5.91%;the economic value of cultivated land resources in the accounting unit ranges from 52 900 to 2 978 500 yuan·hm-2,with an average of 982 800 yuan·hm-2,showing a spatial pattern of increasing inward from both northern and southern Anhui;The Moran's I index of the economic value of cultivated land resources is between 0.102 and 0.265.Since 2016,the Moran's I index has continued to rise and the amplitude of change has gradually decreased,indicating that the spatial agglomeration trend of the economic value of cultivated land resources in Anhui Province is continuously significant and relatively stable;many"high high"clustering areas are distributed in southern and northern Anhui,while the"low low"clustering areas are mainly in central Anhui;the overall shift of the kernel density distribution curve to the right further indicates that the economic value of cultivated land resources is showing a rapid increasing trend;it is divided into three regional types:northern Anhui for improving quality and increasing production,central Anhui for exploring potential,and southwestern Anhui for maintaining and developing.For each type,the precise protection and management strategies for arable land resources are proposed.The research results may provide a basis for enhancing the economic value of cultivated land resources and scientifically determining their compensation standards.

cultivated land resourceseconomic valuespatiotemporal heterogeneityaccountingAnhui Province

范树平、岳娟、余波平、米逸诗、马慧慧、付新武、李星银

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安徽农业大学经济管理学院,合肥 230036

安徽省国土空间规划研究院,合肥 230601

江淮耕地资源保护与生态修复自然资源部重点实验室,合肥 230601

合肥市规划设计研究院,合肥 230001

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耕地资源 经济价值 时空异质 核算 安徽省

国家自然科学基金面上项目安徽省自然资源科技项目安徽省高校人文社会科学研究重点项目安徽省级大学生创新创业训练计划项目

718730032022-k-6SK2021A0155S202010364071

2024

沈阳农业大学学报
沈阳农业大学

沈阳农业大学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.667
ISSN:1000-1700
年,卷(期):2024.55(1)
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