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我国多晶硅市场现状及发展建议

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"双碳"背景下,国内可再生能源消费占比逐步提升,带动光伏产业迅猛发展.多晶硅是光伏产业上游,目前国内多晶硅市场严重过剩,未来市场供需形势仍不容乐观.该文概括了国内多晶硅行业发展情况,重点阐述了多晶硅市场和技术现状、分析了改良西门子法与硅烷流化床法工艺发展趋势,并预测展望未来市场变化.未来布局多晶硅业务需在技术上不断突破,产业链实现上下游协同,生产上逐步降低产品碳排放强度并关注多晶硅业务发展的潜在制约点和风险,引导我国多晶硅产业健康发展.
Current Status and Development Suggestions for China's Polysilicon Market
Under the background of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals,the proportion of renewable energy consumption in China is gradually increasing,driving the rapid development of the photovoltaic industry.Polycrystalline silicon is the source of the photovoltaic industry and occupies an important position.Currently,the domestic polycrystalline silicon market is severely surplus,and the future market supply and demand situation is still not optimistic.This article summarizes the development of domestic polycrystalline silicon,focusing on the current market and technological status of polycrystalline silicon in China,analyzing the development trends of Siemens method and silane fluidized bed processes,as well as the current production costs of polycrystalline silicon.It also provides a forecast and outlook for future market.In the future,the layout of polycrystalline silicon business requires continuous technological breakthroughs,the realization of upstream and downstream synergy in the industrial chain,gradual reduction of product carbon emission intensity in production,and attention to potential constraints and risks in the development of polycrystalline silicon business,so as to guide the healthy development of China's polysilicon industry.

photovoltaicpolycrystalline siliconmarketimproved siemens methodsilane fluidized bed methodcost competitivenessdevelopment trend

赵帅、张松

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中国石化集团经济技术研究院有限公司,中国石化咨询有限责任公司,北京 100029

光伏 多晶硅 市场 改良西门子法 硅烷流化床法 成本竞争力 发展趋势

2024

石油石化绿色低碳
中国石油化工集团公司经济技术研究

石油石化绿色低碳

影响因子:0.23
ISSN:2095-0942
年,卷(期):2024.9(6)