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"人工智能+"辅助石化企业全产业链动态集成优化探索

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2024年以来柴油市场持续疲软.面对困境合理调控资源以期推动柴油价格回升,成为缓解柴油业务亏损的重要途径.然而,当前国内外尚缺乏直接量化柴油产量调整与批发价格变化之间关系的研究.该研究基于生产优化模型,利用人工智能反向传播神经网络建立"柴油批发价格预测模型"并应用于某企业,成功实现将企业计划优化与市场需求变化紧密结合的动态测算,在当今瞬息万变的新型市场环境下具有重要意义.
"Artificial Intelligence Plus"Assisted the Exploration of Dynamic Integration Optimization of the Whole Industrial Chain of Petrochemical Enterprises
Since 2024,the diesel market has continued to weaken.In the face of the current market difficulties,reasonably regulating resources in order to promote the recovery of diesel wholesale prices,has become an important way to alleviate diesel losses.While,at present,there is a lack of direct quantification of the relationship between diesel production adjustment and price change.Based on the production and management planning optimization software and back propagation neural network,the"diesel wholesale price prediction model"is established in this study.The model is applied to the monthly production and operation optimization of a petrochemical enterprise.Meanwhile,the planning optimization model realizes the dynamic calculation that closely combines the planning optimization and the market.It is of great significance to fully consider the influence of large-scale and influential production scheduling of petrochemical enterprises on the market,which is of great significance in today's changing novel market environment.

artificial neural networkprice predictionpetrochemical industrydiesel marketproduction and management optimization

郑爽、牟鹏

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中国石化集团经济技术研究院有限公司,中国石化咨询有限责任公司,北京 100029

人工神经网络 价格预测 石油化工 柴油市场 生产经营优化

2024

石油石化绿色低碳
中国石油化工集团公司经济技术研究

石油石化绿色低碳

影响因子:0.23
ISSN:2095-0942
年,卷(期):2024.9(6)