首页|2017-2022年黑龙江省肾综合征出血热流行特征及空间聚集性分析

2017-2022年黑龙江省肾综合征出血热流行特征及空间聚集性分析

扫码查看
目的 了解黑龙江省肾综合征出血热(hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome,HFRS)的三间分布特点、空间聚集性,为HFRS疾病监测和防控工作提供参考依据.方法 HFRS病例数据信息来源于中国疾病预防控制中心"传染病报告信息管理系统",应用空间自相关分析的方法对2017年1月1日—2022年12月31日的HFRS监测数据进行分析,在流行病学三间分布、空间聚集特征上进行描述.结果 2017-2022年黑龙江省共报告HFRS病例5 855例,2017-2019年发病率呈现上升趋势,之后逐年下降;41~50岁年龄组病例数最多,2021年以后51~60岁男性病例占比增加,居各年龄组首位.60岁以上人群发病比例达到20%以上,男性病例数高于女性病例数(x2=143.76,P<0.01),在职业分布上农民占绝对优势,全年12月均有病例报告,有春夏、秋冬两个发病高峰;全局空间自相关分析显示,在县区水平(除2018年外)发病呈现空间自相关性(Moran's I>0,P<0.05),提示HFRS发病(除2018年外)在地理区域上存在聚集性.通过局部空间自相关分析得出:2017-2022年"高-高"聚集区的数量呈现下降趋势,在整体上"高-高"聚集区域有从东北向东南再向西南移动的趋势.在死亡病例中90.63%感染了 SEO型HFRS,均未接种疫苗,发病到诊断时间差的中位数大于非死亡病例发病到诊断时间差的中位数.结论 2017-2022年黑龙江省HFRS总体呈现平稳下降的趋势,但发病仍排在全国前列,应继续在全省高发聚集县区的重点人群中加强健康教育和HFRS疫苗接种等防控措施,对"高-低""低-高"聚集模式县区的病例进行数据质量核查,分析出现这一模式的原因.应在SEO型HFRS流行区域提高疫苗覆盖率和就诊意识.
Epidemic characteristics and spatial aggregation of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Heilongjiang Province,2017-2022
Objective To understand the time,region and population distribution characteristics and spatial aggregation of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome(HFRS)in Heilongjiang Province,and to provide a reference basis for HFRS monitoring,prevention and control.Methods Data about HFRS cases were obtained from the Infectious Disease Reporting Information Management System of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.The spatial autocorrelation analysis method was used to analyze the HFRS surveillance data from January 1,2017 to December 31,2022,and the characteristics in epidemiological distribution of time,region and population as well as spatial aggregation were described.Results A total of 5,855 HFRS cases were reported in Heilongjiang Province from 2017 to 2022.The incidence rates in 2017-2019 showed an upward trend,but then decreased year by year.The group aged 41-50 years had the largest number of cases.The proportion of male cases aged 51-60 years increased after 2021,ranking first among all age groups.The proportion of cases in people over 60 years old reached more than 20%,and the number of male cases was more than that of female ones(x2=143.76,P<0.01).As for occupation distribution,most of the cases were farmers,and there were cases reported in each month of the year 2022,with two incidence peaks in spring-summer and autumn-winter.Global spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed that the incidence at the county-and district-level(except in 2018)presented spatial autocorrelation(Moran's I>0,P<0.05),indicating that there was regional aggregation in the incidence of HFRS(except in 2018).Local spatial autocorrelation analysis displayed that the number of high-high aggregation areas in 2017-2022 showed a downward trend,and on the whole,the high-high aggregation areas presented a trend of moving from northeast to southeast and then to southwest.90.63%of the fatal cases were infected with SEO-type HFRS,none of them were vaccinated,and their median of time difference from onset to diagnosis was greater than that in non-deceased cases.Conclusion The overall trend in HFRS in Heilongjiang Province showed a stable decline,but the incidence was still among the top in the country.It is necessary to continuously strengthen health education as well as prevention and control measures such as HFRS vaccination among key populations in high incidence counties and districts in the province,check the data quality of cases in counties and districts with high-low and low-high aggregation modes,analyze the causes for these modes,and increase the vaccine coverage rate as well as awareness of hospital visits in the SEO-type endemic areas of HFRS.

hemorrhagic fever with renal syndromespatial aggregationepidemic characteristic

华华、胡泉博、陈淑红、田育文

展开 >

黑龙江省疾病预防控制中心,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150036

肾综合征出血热 空间聚集 流行特征

2022年黑龙江省卫生计生委科研课题

20221212051186

2024

实用预防医学
中华预防医学会 湖南省预防医学会

实用预防医学

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.391
ISSN:1006-3110
年,卷(期):2024.31(6)