首页|2013-2022年重庆市涪陵区其他感染性腹泻流行病学特征及发病率长期变化趋势分析

2013-2022年重庆市涪陵区其他感染性腹泻流行病学特征及发病率长期变化趋势分析

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目的 分析2013-2022年重庆市涪陵区其他感染性腹泻流行病学特征及发病率长期变化趋势,为涪陵区其他感染性腹泻防控提供科学依据.方法 在中国疾病预防控制信息系统收集2013-2022年重庆市涪陵区其他感染性腹泻病例个案数据,通过描述性研究分析其三间分布情况,利用ArcMap10.7绘制点密度图实现发病情况地区分布可视化.通过Excel 2019和SPSS 20.0软件计算中国人口年龄标化发病率,发病率长期变化趋势采用Joinpoint回归模型计算年度变化百分比(annual percent of change,APC)和平均年度变化百分比(average annual percent change,AAPC)进行分析.结果 2013-2022年重庆市涪陵区累计报告其他感染性腹泻 1 1380例,年均报告发病数达到1 138例,年均报告发病率达到100.87/10万,存在冬季和夏季两个发病高峰.人群分布中报告发病数男性(6 359例)高于女性(5 021例),0~3岁报告发病数9 995例(占比87.83%),人群分类以散居儿童(9 797例,占比86.09%)为主.地区主要分布在荔枝街道(2 485例,占比21.84%),崇义街道(2 355例,占比20.69%),敦仁街道(2 119例,占比18.62%),马鞍街道(1 313例,占比11.54%),江东街道(380例,占比3.34%).报告暴发疫情1起,发生场所为小学.Joinpoint回归分析显示2013-2022年涪陵区年龄标化发病率发病趋势总体呈现增长趋势,趋势变化差异有统计学意义(AAPC=8.50%,95%CI:3.98~13.22,P=0.002),2013-2018年涪陵区其他感染性腹泻粗发病率呈现增长趋势,趋势变化差异有统计学意义(APC=16.75%,95%CI:2.73~32.69,P=0.026),2018-2022年粗发病率呈现下降趋势,但趋势变化差异无统计学意义(APC=-9.89%,95%CI:-24.81~7.98,P=0.199).结论 2013-2022年涪陵区其他感染性腹泻以散居儿童为主,冬季发病高峰大于夏季发病高峰,发病地区以荔枝街道、崇义街道、敦仁街道等城区为主,以散发为主,学校(小学)为暴发疫情的高发场所.发病趋势总体呈显著增长趋势,受新冠疫情影响近5年粗发病率呈现一定下降趋势.应结合涪陵区其他感染性腹泻流行病学特点,在不同季节、不同区域对高发人群采取针对性防控措施.
Epidemiological characteristics of other infectious diarrhea and secular variation trends of their incidence rates in Fuling District of Chongqing Municipality,2013-2022
Objective To analyze the epidemiological features of other infectious diarrhea and long-term changing trends of their incidence rates in Fuling District of Chongqing Municipality from 2013 to 2022,and to provide a scientific basis for other infectious diarrhea prevention and control in Fuling District.Methods Data about other infectious diarrhea cases in Fuling District from 2013 to 2022 were collected from the China Information System for Disease Prevention and Control,and the time,regional and population distribution was analyzed through descriptive research.ArcMap 10.7 was used to draw point density map to visualize the regional distribution of the incidence.Excel 2019 and SPSS 20.0 were applied to calculating the age-standardized incidence rate of the Chinese population.Joinpoint regression model was employed to calculate annual percent of change(APC)and average annual percent change(AAPC),and then the long-term changing trends of the incidence rates were analyzed.Results A total of 11,380 cases of other infectious diarrhea were reported in Fuling District from 2013 to 2022,with the average annual reported incidence of 1,138 cases and the average annual reported incidence rate of 100.87/100,000.There were two incidence peaks in winter and summer.In the population distribution,the number of reported cases in males(n=6,359)was higher than that in females(n=5,021),the number of reported cases in 0-3 years old was 9,995(accounting for 87.83%).As for the population classification,most of the cases were scattered children(n=9,797,86.09%).As for the regional distribution,the cases were mainly distributed in Lizhi Street(n=2,485,21.84%),Chongyi Street(n=2,355,20.69%),Dunren Street(n=2,119,18.62%),Ma'an Street(n=1,313,11.54%)and Jiangdong Street(n=380,3.34%).One outbreak was reported,which occurred in a primary school.Joinpoint regression analysis revealed that the overall trend of the age-standardized incidence rates in Fuling District from 2013 to 2022 showed an increasing trend,with statistical significant differences in the trend(AAPC=8.50%,95%CI:3.98-13.22,P=0.002).The crude incidence rates of other infectious diarrhea in Fuling District from 2013 to 2018 presented an upward trend,with statistical significant differences in the trend(APC=16.75%,95%CI:2.73-32.69,P=0.026),but the crude incidence rates from 2018 to 2022 showed a decreasing trend,without statistical significant differences in the trend(APC=-9.89%,95%CI:-24.81-7.98,P=0.199).Conclusion Other infectious diarrhea in Fuling District during 2013-2022 mainly affected scattered children,and the incidence peak in winter was higher than that in summer.Most of the cases were scattered in the urban areas like Lizhi Street,Chongyi Street and Dunren Street,and schools(primary schools)were the high incidence places.The overall trend in the incidence of other infectious diarrhea in Fuling District from 2013 to 2022 showed a significant increasing trend,but the crude incidence rates from 2018 to 2022 showed a certain decreasing trend under the influence of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.Based on the epidemiological characteristics of other infectious diarrhea in Fuling District,targeted prevention and control measures should be taken for high incidence populations in different seasons and regions.

other infectious diarrheaepidemiological characteristictrend analysis

刘洪泊、陈晓明、艾彦彪、冉琪瑜、潘红、黄成渝、李吉文、向于

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重庆市涪陵区疾病预防控制中心,重庆 408000

其他感染性腹泻 流行病学特征 趋势分析

&&&&重庆市首批公共卫生重点学科(专科)

FLKJ2022AAN1017

2024

实用预防医学
中华预防医学会 湖南省预防医学会

实用预防医学

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.391
ISSN:1006-3110
年,卷(期):2024.31(9)