首页|2012-2022年合肥市百日咳流行病学特征及时空聚集性分析

2012-2022年合肥市百日咳流行病学特征及时空聚集性分析

扫码查看
目的 分析合肥市百日咳流行特征和时空分布特征,探讨其重点发病区域,为预防控制百日咳提供参考.方法 描述性分析中国疾病预防控制信息系统收集的2012-2022年合肥市百日咳发病数据,应用空间分析法和时空扫描统计法,对百日咳发病率数据进行时空分析.结果 2012-2022年合肥市共报告693例百日咳病例,年均报告发病率为0.21/10万;病例分布呈现季节性(5-9月).病例主要集中在1岁以下,以散居儿童、学生和幼托儿童为主(87.31%),男女性别比1.10∶1.蜀山区、庐阳区和瑶海区是合肥市百日咳主要的高发地区.全局空间自相关分析结果显示,2021-2022年合肥市各县(市区)百日咳发病率有空间聚集性(P<0.01).局部空间自相关分析显示,2021-2022年百日咳发病率有热点区域(高-高)出现.时空扫描分析共探测到2个聚集区,一类聚集区的时间为2021年1月1日—2022年12月30日,以庐阳区和瑶海区为中心.二类聚集区的时间为2019年1月 1日—12月30日,以蜀山区为中心.结论 2012-2022年百日咳发病率存在"低-高"波动的特点,其中2020-2022年发病率呈现上升趋势,存在"百日咳重现"现象,2022年庐阳区和瑶海区高发,且存在时空聚集性,以低年龄为主,应加强重点地区重点人群的宣传教育、监测及培训.
Epidemiological characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering of pertussis in Hefei City,2012-2022
Objective To analyze the epidemiological and spatial-temporal distribution features of pertussis in Hefei City,to explore its key incidence areas,and to provide references for pertussis prevention and control.Methods The data about pertussis incidence in Hefei City during 2012-2022 were collected from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System,and then descriptively analyzed by using spatial analysis and spatiotemporal scanning statistics.Results A total of 693 pertussis cases were reported in Hefei City from 2012 to 2022,with the average annual reported incidence rate of 0.21/100,000.The cases'distribution was seasonal(in May-September).The cases were mainly concentrated in children under 1 year old,and most of them were scattered children,students and children in kindergarten(87.31%),with a male to female sex ratio of 1.10∶1.Shushan District,Luyang District and Yaohai District were the major high incidence areas of pertussis in Hefei City.The results of global spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed that there was spatial aggregation of pertussis incidence in all counties(urban areas)of Hefei City during 2021-2022(P<0.01).Local spatial autocorrelation analysis displayed that hot spots(high-high clusters)appeared in the incidence of pertussis during 2021-2022(P<0.01).A total of 2 clusters were detected by spatiotemporal scanning analysis,and the first cluster was from January 1,2021 to December 30,2022,with Luyang District and Yaohai District as the center.The second cluster was from January 1 to December 30,2019,with Shushan District as the center.Conclusion The incidence of pertussis in Hefei City in 2012-2022 was characterized by a low-high fluctuation,of which the incidence of pertussis during 2020-2022 showed an upward trend,with a phenomenon of pertussis recurrence.Luyang District and Yaohai District were the high incidence areas in 2022,with a spatiotemporal aggregation,and mainly in the young age.It is necessary to strengthen the publicity,education,monitoring and training among the key population in the key areas.

pertussisepidemiological characteristicspatial autocorrelationspatial-temporal clustering

彭宝珍、刘振武、靳玉惠

展开 >

合肥市疾病预防控制中心,安徽 合肥 230041

百日咳 流行特征 空间自相关 时空聚集性

合肥市第七周期医学重点专科项目

2024

实用预防医学
中华预防医学会 湖南省预防医学会

实用预防医学

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.391
ISSN:1006-3110
年,卷(期):2024.31(9)