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2000-2019年中国早发型癌症疾病负担及危险因素变化趋势

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目的 揭示2000-2019年中国早发型癌症疾病负担及危险因素的变化趋势.方法 数据来自2019年全球疾病负担研究.采用发病、死亡和伤残调整寿命年(disability-adjusted life year,DALY)指标,分析中国15~49岁人群早发型癌症疾病负担情况;通过人群归因分值(population attributable fraction,PAF)估计早发型癌症DALY归因于可改变危险因素的比例.以年估计百分比(estimated annual percentage change,EAPC)及其95%CI估计2000-2019年疾病负担变化趋势.结果 2019年中国早发型癌症发病率、死亡率和DALY率分别为109.0/10万、35.8/10万和1 763.7/10万.新发病例数在所有早发型癌症中占比最高的癌种为乳腺癌、结直肠癌和胃癌;死亡例数占比最高的癌种为肺癌、肝癌和胃癌.35.8%的早发型癌症DALY可归因于可改变危险因素.烟草使用(PAF=16.0%)为我国早发型癌症首要危险因素,其次为膳食危险因素(6.1%)和酒精使用(5.9%).2000-2019年,我国早发型癌症的发病率呈上升趋势(EAPC=2.0%,95%CI:1.6%~2.3%);死亡率(EAPC=-1.1%,95%CI:-1.4%~-0.7%)及DALY率(EAPC=-1.2%,95%CI:-1.5%~-0.8%)均呈下降趋势.早发型肝癌新发例数占所有早发型癌症新发病例的比例由2000年首位降至2019年第8位;早发型结直肠癌发病占比由2000年第6位升至2019年第2位.与2000年(32.0%)比较,2019年我国全人群早发型癌症DALY危险因素PAF增长11.9%.结论 我国早发型癌症发病增加,死亡和伤残得到有效控制,不同癌种疾病负担构成的变化存在异质性.应加强对可改变危险因素的干预,降低早发型癌症负担.
Temporal trends of burden and risk factors of early-onset cancer in China from 2000 to 2019
Objective To reveal the trends of the burden and risk factors of early-onset cancer in China from 2000 to 2019.Methods Data were obtained from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study.Indicators including incidence,mortality,and disability-adjusted life year(DALY)were used to describe the burden of early-onset cancer in population aged 15 to 49 years,and the population attributable fraction(PAF)of DALY was used to estimate the proportion attributable to modifiable risk factors.Estimated annual percentage change(EAPC)and its 95%CI were applied to estimate the temporal trends of the burden of early-onset cancer from 2000 to 2019.Results In 2019,the rates of incidence,mortality,and DALY of early-onset cancer were 109.0/100 000,35.8/100 000,and 1 763.7/100 000,respec-tively.Early-onset breast cancer,colorectal cancer,and stomach cancer accounted for the highest proportion of newly-diagnosed cases for all early-onset cancers;early-onset lung cancer,liver cancer,and stomach cancer accounted for the highest proportion of death cases for all early-onset cancers.35.8%DALYs imposed by early-onset cancer were attributable to modifiable risk factors.Tobacco use(PAF=16.0%)was the leading risk factor of early-onset cancer,followed by dietary risks(6.1%)and alcohol use(5.9%).From 2000 to 2019,the inci-dence rate of early-onset cancer increased(EAPC=2.0%,95%CI:1.6%-2.3%),whereas the rates of mortality(EAPC=-1.1%,95%CI:-1.4%--0.7%)and DALY(EAPC=-1.2%,95%CI:-1.5%--0.8%)decreased.The proportion of incident cases of early-onset liver cancer decreased in rank from the first position in 2000 to the 8th position in 2019;the proportion of incident cases of early-onset colorectal cancer increased in rank from the 6th position in 2000 to the second position in 2019.Compared with 2000(32.0%),PAF for the risk factors of early-onset cancer increased by 11.9%in 2019.Conclusions The incidence of early-onset cancer increased in China,whereas mor-tality and disability had been effectively controlled.The change in proportions of different early-onset cancers showed heterogeneity.It is significantly important to strengthen interventions for risk factors to reduce the burden of early-onset cancer.

early-onset cancerdisease burdenrisk factortemporal trend

曲龙嘉、郑亚迪、罗姿麟、谢嘉欣、陈晓露、王晨冉、董学思、李霓

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中国人民武装警察部队辽宁省总队医院重症医学科,辽宁沈阳 110034

国家癌症中心/国家恶性肿瘤临床医学研究中心/中国医学科学院北京协和医学院肿瘤医院癌症早诊早治办公室,北京 100021

早发型癌症 疾病负担 危险因素 变化趋势

2024

实用肿瘤杂志
浙江大学

实用肿瘤杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.034
ISSN:1001-1692
年,卷(期):2024.39(2)
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