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基于水资源空间均衡的"四水四定"调控模型的应用

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  • 国家科技期刊平台
  • NETL
  • NSTL
  • 万方数据
将前期研究构建的基于水资源空间均衡的"四水四定"调控模型应用于山东省临沂市水资源空间均衡动态调控，在预测各区(县)用水量和用水指标的基础上，探究了各区(县)未来水资源空间均衡度，在不同时间尺度上对未来用水量进行了动态调控。结果表明:调控模型可靠性高且具备普适性;当前用水模式下临沂市未来水资源在空间上处于绝对均衡状态，仅水土匹配系数处于一般均衡状态;对各区(县)不同类型未来用水量进行动态调控，可在不同时间尺度上使临沂市水资源空间均衡的各项指标达到绝对均衡状态;在"四水四定"与水资源空间均衡的约束下，通过对未来长短期用水量的动态调控，临沂市预期用水量能够实现动态均衡。
Application of water resources spatial equilibrium-based"defining city,land,population,and industry based on water"regulation and control model
The"defining city,land,population,and industry based on water"(DCLPIW)regulation and control model based on water resources spatial equilibrium constructed in previous research was used to carry out applied research of water resources spatial equilibrium dynamic regulation of Linyi City,Shandong Province.The spatial equilibrium of water resources in different districts(counties)in the future was explored based on the forecast results of water consumption and water use indicators,and dynamic regulation of future water consumption was conducted on different time scales.The results show that the regulation and control model is highly reliable and universally applicable,and future water resources in Linyi City are in an absolute spatial equilibrium state under the current water use pattern,only the water and soil matching coefficient is in a general equilibrium state.The dynamic regulation of future water consumption of different types in various districts(counties)can make the spatial equilibrium indicators of water resources in Linyi City reach the absolute equilibrium state on different time scales.Under the constraints of DCLPIW and spatial equilibrium of water resources,Linyi City is expected to realize dynamic equilibrium of water consumption based on the long-and short-term dynamic regulation of water consumption in the future.

"defining city,land,population,and industry based on water"spatial equilibrium of water resourcesfuture water consumptiondynamic regulationLinyi City

魏豪杉、王红瑞、郏鹏鑫、周利超、李永坤、刘昌明

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北京师范大学水科学研究院,北京 100875

中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所陆地水循环及地表过程重点实验室,北京 100101

临沂市自然资源和规划局,山东临沂 276001

北京市水科学技术研究院,北京 100048

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"四水四定" 水资源空间均衡 未来用水量 动态调控 临沂市

国家自然科学基金项目国家发展和改革委员会"四水四定"政策研究项目

5227900523-10-13

2024

10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2024.05.010

水资源保护
河海大学 中国水利学会环境水利研究会

水资源保护

CSTPCD北大核心EI
影响因子：0.827
ISSN：1004-6933
年,卷(期)：2024.40(5)